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Draft Realist Catholic Climate Declaration: Please Share!
Posted inCulture

Draft Realist Catholic Climate Declaration: Please Share!

Here we are, friends. As promised, Draft 2 of the Realist Catholic Climate Declaration. Draft 1 is at the bottom, with a summary of critiques. The goal is to have…
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Corruption Of All Authority: An Interim Doom Report
Posted inCulture

Corruption Of All Authority: An Interim Doom Report

"Any organization not explicitly right-wing sooner or later becomes left-wing." This is, as everybody knows, Conquest's Second Law. It is a true law, as all modern experience shows. But it…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Verification 1
Posted inStatistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Verification 1

We are finally at the most crucial part of the modeling process: proving if the damned thing works. Not "works" in the sense that we get good unobservable parameter estimates,…
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Everything Is Already In The Simulation
Posted inStatistics

Everything Is Already In The Simulation

On Drudge a while back was linked the article "Pandemic 'could wipe out 900 million people,' experts warn" in some tabloid or sensationalistic rag (New York Times?). A chilling simulation…
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SJWs Warn Against Viewing <em>It’s a Wonderful Life</em>
Posted inCulture

SJWs Warn Against Viewing It’s a Wonderful Life

Stream: SJWs Warn Against Viewing 'It's a Wonderful Life' The changes in our language and social practices ushered in by political correctness were only the beginning. As tumultuous as the…
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Posted inStatistics

DDP: Quack Cures For What Doesn’t Ail Us, Part II

I'm at the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness meeting in No-History City, Louisiana. Here's Part II of (an earlier draft of) the speech I gave Saturday. Consider donating $1 for every…
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Posted inStatistics

Scott Adams’s Climate Science Challenge

Scott Adams's Climate Science Challenge is of interest---thanks to reader Francsois for bringing it to our attention---because of his name-brand recognition. Here is the gist: So today's challenge is to…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Pope Francis and President-Elect Trump Disagree on Global Warming Threat

Pope Francis and President-Elect Trump Disagree on Global Warming Threat: ... Yet the Holy Father will try and use his bully pulpit to influence the incoming administration. With the notable…
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  1. Rudolph Harrier on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    I've started thinking of this as the "juice loosener problem" (after the Simpsons bit where Dr. Nick hawks an orange…

  2. Cary D Cotterman on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    After spending years in school doing my own writing, then decades in my profession busting my ass to write somewhere…

  3. Uncle Mike on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    AI isn't the entity smoothing the data. The alleged decline in Arctic sea ice was a key assertion in Algore's…

  4. JH on A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?March 10, 2026

    The definition of cause can vary, and each incident may have its causes or contributing factors. I see coincidences as…

  5. JH on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    AI can be ‘gullible’ because it takes all the information fed into its optimization or backpropagation system. In many tasks,…

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