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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

An Ensemble Of Models Is Completely Meaningful, Statistically: Update 2

The Answer to Senn will continue on Monday. Look for my Finger Lakes winery tour tasting notes Sunday! Several readers asked me to comment on an ensemble climate forecasting post…
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Posted inStatistics

Econometric Drinking Games, WSJ Edition: Update

Jim Fedako sent in this Wall Street Journal column, written by one Dan Ariely, a "Professor of Psychology and Behavioral Economics." A lady wrote Ariely asking for economic party games.…
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Posted inStatistics

On The Intersection Of Scientist And Politicians—Guest Post by An Engineer

"An Engineer" is a gentleman who has practiced Civil, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering for more than 40 years. He has been granted patents for a number of practical inventions, and…
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Posted inStatistics

Twenty Tips For Interpreting Scientific Claims

Title of today's post is taken from article of the same name in Nature by William Sutherland, David Spiegelhalter, Mark Burgman. Several readers asked me to comment. I'll assume you've…
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Posted inCulture Fun Statistics

How’d Our 2012 Predictions Fare?

We didn't have a such a bad year making picks---here's the list. Make predictions for 2013 here. Yours truly picked Mitt Romney as president. A wishcast not a forecast! A…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Are You Good At Picking Football Games? Edgehogs

I haven't met a die-hard sports fan yet who hasn't claimed to be able to pick games better than everybody else. Just as I haven't met a gambler who hasn't…
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Posted inStatistics

Romney and Holdren Sittin’ In A Tree

Update: Somehow---I don't know how---the beginning of this piece has disappeared. I'll try to find it. Yeesh. Mitt Romeny, when Governor: Massachusetts continues to be committed to improving air quality…
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Posted inStatistics

There Is No Such Thing As A Scientific Poll

There is no such thing as an unscientific one, either. A poll is this: a question or questions that are interpreted and answered by a group of individuals at a…
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  1. JDinPA on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    CCReed: That’s a disturbing take on the late Z-Man in at least two senses: 1) If true, Z-Man was perpetrating…

  2. CCReed on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    A somewhat different take on the late Z-Man: https://bestservedcole.substack.com/p/the-z-man-story

  3. CorkyAgain on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 3, 2025

    I think I stopped listening to radio around the time when Paul Harvey was no longer there to tell us…

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    @Alex: "The other abomination on the am dial is black talk radio. In Chicongo. Pure raciacist hatred of all things…

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    I've got a beautifully restored 1936 RCA Victor super-heterodyne "Magic-Eye" console radio with standard broadcast (AM), short-wave, and medium-wave bands,…

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