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William M. Briggs

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Posted inCulture

A Depressing Day, With Some Hope

The election is over and, in large measure, the populace once more voted to continue voting itself funds taken from "other" people. Oh, sure, in some areas like Florida, the…
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Posted inFun Statistics

The Predictive Skills of Octopii: Paul’s World Cup Prognostications

In Detroit, for that glorious game of soccer-on-ice-with-sticks, we---I still say "we"; you can never separate yourself from your birthplace---know what to do with octopuses, octopii as were: We toss…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Statistics as Beauty; Global Warming Miscellany; SATs Biased?; More

Statistics is Beautiful? From reader Yeah, Yeah comes a link to a Wired article which assures us we should "Learn the Language of Data." It's not a pretty language, but…
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Posted inStatistics

Lesson Zero: Lecturing, Churchill, and End of the World

Teaching as Performance The class is two weeks of solid statistics. Eight hours a day weeks; save the weekends. I don't know about other instructors, but my technique is to…
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Posted inStatistics

How Republican Is The Country?

This picture tells the story: The percent of seats of the House of Representatives, the Senate, and the Presidency are plotted, starting in the year of the relevant election. I…
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Posted inStatistics

My Answers to Willis Eschenbach’s 14 + 2 Questions

Repost Mr Eschenbach had not had the chance to respond to this article before the two weeks wherein comments are automatically closed have elapsed. This re-post will allow him, and…
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Posted inStatistics

Short New York Real Estate Because of Global Warming?

Stevey Cohen, head of the Earth Institute at Columbia University, wants you to short New York City real estate. He doesn't actually say that---Stevey isn't a broker and his statements…
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Posted inStatistics

Gladwell, Gottman, and Abraham on Predicting Divorce

Despite the best efforts of their wives, some married men remain recalcitrant and uncooperative. They refuse to or are incapable of taking their training seriously. Some of these men, who…
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  1. JH on A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?March 10, 2026

    The definition of cause can vary, and each incident may have its causes or contributing factors. I see coincidences as…

  2. JH on The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AIMarch 10, 2026

    AI can be ‘gullible’ because it takes all the information fed into its optimization or backpropagation system. In many tasks,…

  3. Richard on A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?March 9, 2026

    My son-in-law calls these "cosmic coincidences". We share with each other "interesting" or "unusual" ones we've each experienced. Of course,…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?March 9, 2026

    Funny, I was just thinking about synchronicity...

  5. Jennifer on Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time SeriesMarch 7, 2026

    Ran across this and thought you could be interested: A Combat Scenario-Based Model for Quantifying Ethical Decision?Making in Military AI…

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