Posted inCulture Statistics
The Pope Is Wrong About Global Warming
God bless Pope Francis. But he is wrong about global warming, and even wronger about "special interests" trying to keep global warming going. The Holy Father knows a lot more…
Posted inStatistics
Trenberth Is Wrong About Global Warming: The PDO Is An Effect, Not A Cause
Kevin "Travesty" Trenberth had a peer-reviewed article in Science entitled, "Has there been a hiatus? Internal climate variability masks climate-warming trends." First, the word "hiatus" is wrong. Using it assumes…
Posted inStatistics
Keeping It Simple: The Value Of An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model. New Paper
The rebuttal to the criticism of our original peer-reviewed climate model paper "Why models run hot" has been published in Science Bulletin. It is also peer-reviewed, and therefore it must…
Posted inCulture
Insurance Companies Raising Prices Because Of Exaggerated Global Warming Threat by Insurance Insider ‘Barton Keyes’
'Barton Keyes' is a pseudonym (which I picked) as the insurance industry insider who penned this article needs to remain anonymous. This article, which tells of how insurance companies will…
Posted inCulture Statistics
Why Global Warming Models Are Hot And Bothered
https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/605381412158500864 Everybody remembers what happened when Lord Christopher Monckton, Willie Soon, David Legates and I published our (what is physics is called) toy model of the climate. Global warming increased!…
Posted inStatistics
What Evidence Would Persuade You That Man-Made Climate Change Is Real?
Somebody named Ronald Bailey (he isn't anybody I know) at the inaptly named Reason asked the good question which heads this post. Second thought: the question is awful. No scientist…
Posted inStatistics
How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part II: Update
Read Part I Part II What we're after is a score that calculates how close a prediction is to its eventual observation when the prediction is a probability. Now there…
Posted inStatistics
How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part III
Read Part I, Part II Part III This brings us to the second reason for measuring model goodness. Or rather an incorrect implementation of it. A lot of folks announce…
