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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy

All Forecasts, Predictions, & Prophecies Are Contingent

Yesterday I made the point that Jim Hansen's latest threat of doom was a conditional one. I also said that there was nothing wrong with this. And there isn't. Nothing…
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Posted inStatistics

Statistics Proves Same Drug Both Causes And Does Not Cause Same Cancer

No, the title of today's post is not a joke, even though it has often been used that way in the past. The title was inspired by yesterday's Wall Street…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Love Of Theory Is The Root Of All Evil

  Love of truth, on the other hand, is the root of all that is good. Bill Whittle at PJTV very kindly produced a video entitled "Best. Sentence. Ever." (it…
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Posted inFun Philosophy

The Red-Ball-In-The-Box Fallacy

Okay, friends, I need your help. One day last year, shortly after I had arrived in Taiwan, I awoke from a fitful, jet-lagged sleep at 2 a.m. with the argument…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Wearing A New Hat At JP Research

I am now a member of JP Research. What does this mean to you, my loyal readers? Little, except that my contact information for consulting has changed. New telephone and…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Part III

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Parts I, II, III, IV Race, whether or not it can be successfully defined biologically, is clearly important. People, even the non-sincere, at least act…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Are The Masters Winners Getting Younger And Better? Predictions Update

Update As of this writing, the 2012 Masters is halfway through, so it's a good time to re-examine the predictions made last April for this year's tournament. Scores have been…
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Posted inFun Statistics

On Not Winning The Lottery: Horrible Death & Strategies For Winning

Still Here The unthinkable has happened: neither I, nor most certainly you, have won the lottery. Notice I did not use the word "inconceivable", but merely "unthinkable." For while it…
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  1. Cary Cotterman on Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?September 3, 2026

    More than seventy years of experience with dog ownership has made the fact clear to me that dogs squat pointing…

  2. Uncle Mike on Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?September 3, 2026

    The afterstory: three of the authors are now university presidents, and one is head of NSA.

  3. shawn marshall on Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?September 3, 2026

    for sure you have identified a scienterrific study full of dog poop

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?September 3, 2026

    Well, a lot of current research product orients toward the left.

  5. McChuck on Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?September 3, 2026

    Perhaps the dogs prefer not to stare into the morning and evening sun? How does one measure the "calmness" of…

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