Search Results for “probability” – Page 120

Statistics Proves Same Drug Both Causes And Does Not Cause Same Cancer

No, the title of today's post is not a joke, even though it has often been used that way in the past. The title was inspired by yesterday's Wall Street…

Philosophy Statistics

Love Of Theory Is The Root Of All Evil

Love of truth, on the other hand, is the root of all that is good. Bill Whittle at PJTV very kindly produced a video entitled "Best. Sentence. Ever." (it…

Fun Philosophy

The Red-Ball-In-The-Box Fallacy

Okay, friends, I need your help. One day last year, shortly after I had arrived in Taiwan, I awoke from a fitful, jet-lagged sleep at 2 a.m. with the argument…

Fun Statistics

Wearing A New Hat At JP Research

I am now a member of JP Research. What does this mean to you, my loyal readers? Little, except that my contact information for consulting has changed. New telephone and…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Part III

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Parts I, II, III, IV Race, whether or not it can be successfully defined biologically, is clearly important. People, even the non-sincere, at least act…

Fun Statistics

Are The Masters Winners Getting Younger And Better? Predictions Update

Update As of this writing, the 2012 Masters is halfway through, so it's a good time to re-examine the predictions made last April for this year's tournament. Scores have been…

Fun Statistics

On Not Winning The Lottery: Horrible Death & Strategies For Winning

Still Here The unthinkable has happened: neither I, nor most certainly you, have won the lottery. Notice I did not use the word "inconceivable", but merely "unthinkable." For while it…

Philosophy Statistics

Bayes Theorem Proves Jesus Existed And Didn’t Exist

In his shockingly neglected, A Treatise on Probability John Maynard Keynes put his finger on the difficulty people have with probability, particularly Bayes's Theorem: No other formula in the alchemy…

Brian (bulaoren) on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026
If a 7/11 sale occurrs in a forest, and nobody is around to document it, does it make a sound?…
Willis Eschenbach on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026
Thanks as always, Matt. I'd be interested in your (or anyone's) comments on my post below about the Precautionary Principle.…
Steve on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026
Add a few more priors and the odds skyrocket. 7/11 knew about the July 11 thing -- it says right…
Tars Tarkas on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?July 23, 2026
If you can, can you do the example of the Hooker Chemical Love Canal allegedly random cancer cluster in children?…
Tim on Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap HanekampJuly 23, 2026
I enjoyed this discussion. I am very interested in hearing you gentlemen continue discussing nitrogen.