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William M. Briggs

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Posted inBook review Culture

Fads and Fallacies in the Social Sciences by Steven Goldberg: Part IV

This article summarizes the main statistical arguments and the one logical argument used for and against Goldberg's ideas. To be clear: I am convinced by his arguments in the main…
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Posted inBook review Culture

Fads and Fallacies in the Social Sciences by Steven Goldberg: Part III

Part I Part II If we thought the last topic was contentious, and it was, then I'm not sure how to class these items. Merely mentioning them will raise blood…
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Posted inBook review Culture

Fads and Fallacies in the Social Sciences by Steven Goldberg: Part II

Part I We now discuss the first two of Goldberg's main claims. Both of them are contentious, are bitterly contested, and passion inducing. Try to keep a cool head; certainly…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Models, theories, consistency, and truth

Ready? Put on your best straight face, recall that global temperatures have not increased for a decade, and that it's actually been getting cooler, then repeat with Brenda Ekwurzel, of…
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Posted inStatistics

Coin, queries, and screening

Work has caught up with me yet again, so here are three interesting stories to wile the time away. The probability of a coin flip Reader Ari Schwartz sent in…
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Taking stock in the track: horse races and brokerages

This column was inspired by an interview I did with sports reporter Mark McGuire at the Albany Times Union. His story, in anticipation of the Saratoga races, can be found…
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Posted inPhilosophy

The strange insignificance of statistical significance

Who is more likely to support the death penalty: college undergraduates from a "nationally-ranked Midwestern university with an enrollment of slightly more than 20,000" majoring in social work, or those…
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Posted inPhilosophy

Randomness isn’t in charge of anything: the “hot hand” in basketball

The Wall Street Journal is helping Leonard Mlodinow tout his book The Drunkard’s Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives. Among other things, Mlodinow, like academics Tversky, Kahneman, and Gilovich before…
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