Search Results for “probability” – Page 3

Probability Is Not Frequentist, Nor Math, Nor Real, Nor Subjective

I once had a guy walk out on me at a scientific conference, full of my peers. He and I were disagreeing about the nature of probability. The exact words…

Fun

Changes & Announcing The Uncertainty Probability Science Statistics Class

Change You Can Believe In No joke. The blog has changed. It is now cleaner, more in line with the Substack mirror, some pages consolidated, making it easier to maintain,…

Class Statistics

Class 7: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Intuition Check

Link to all Classes. Video Thanks to an anonymous donor for the gift of the new equipment, which has resulted in a New & Improved! picture and sound. Thanks, too,…

Class

Class 5: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Induction & Intellection

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute Next week we finally begin probability. Let there be joy! HOMEWORK: Read. I mean it. Read the chapter below. Lecture…

Class Statistics

Class 3: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Belief & Faith

Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble It still feels like I'm rushing things, but the videos are already a half hour. I can't see your faces so…

Class

Class 1: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Logic Teaser

See the end of this post for how the class might work and details about the video. Video Yes, the lighting is terrible. I give sallow a bad name. Links:…

Class Statistics

Class 2: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: Quid Est Veritas

Link to all Classes. Video (Hagfish: I was in such a hurry, I forgot my jacket.) Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble It still feels like I'm rushing things, but the videos…

Philosophy Statistics

The Frequency Interpretation Of Probability Is False: Some Reasons Contra von Mises

What is the chance that "Donald Trump wins the 2024 Presidential election"? Impossible to say, says Richard von Mises, because the event is singular and must be embedded in an…

Johnno on World Ends In 25 years! Towns Become Slaughterhouses! Peter Thiel Disguises Self As Sheep!August 30, 2025
Well as NLR said, and others have echoed, whenever disaster ultimately comes, it comes to the most advanced places, namely…
Briggs on Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is WeeAugust 28, 2025
Willis, The same one you used in setting up the problem. After "millions of throws" (where the manner of the…
Williis Eschenbach on Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is WeeAugust 28, 2025
As always, William, good stuff. Say that I have a pair of dice. I suspect that they are loaded to…
McChuck on The Right & Wrong Way To Do (Electromagnetic) Science: Interview With Hans G. SchantzAugust 28, 2025
Briggs & Schantz - With a name like that, you two should go into business making small engines. But seriously,…
Wm Arthurs on Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is WeeAugust 28, 2025
Throwaway comments made by people who are confused about this sort of thing, gave me a clue to one of…