Posted inStatistics
Pick A Random Number From 1-10
For even more edification, read this article in German: Denken Sie an eine Zahl zwischen 1 und 10. I'm picking a number between 1-10. What is the probability of you…
Posted inStatistics
New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof
Here is a link to the PDF. Briggs, William M., 2019. Everything Wrong with P-Values Under One Roof. In Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods in Economics, V Kreinovich, NN Thach, ND…
Posted inStatistics
A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study
We're going to soon talk more about "IQ" and "intelligence". I'm working on a more in-depth article on the subject to carefully explicate the vast over-certainties I see on "both…
Posted inFun
Register Your Predictions For 2019!
As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well we did last year tomorrow. Rules: Number…
Posted inStatistics
The Monty Hall Problem — Solved!
In honor of Monty Hall, who passed away this past weekend (in October 2017), this classic article (which ran long ago, the date lost due to the hacking, solving his…
Posted inStatistics
How Many Geniuses Are There?
This post originally appeared 15 September 2008. Here is a question I often give on exams: What is the probability that the next child to be born will be a…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Dutch Book: Or, How to Gamble
This post first appeared sometime before 2012, but I lost the original date due to the hacking. If you are a gambler, you'll be delighted to learn that there is…
Posted inFun
The Mathematics Of Santa Claus’ Present Delivery System
It's the time of year when people begin asking the very pertinent question: How does Santa Claus do it? How does he get all those presents to all those kids…