Search Results for “probability” – Page 64

More Asinine Global Warming Research — Introducing ‘Climate Liar’

This is a follow-up to yesterday's post. None of these "studies" merits a full-scale analysis, but they are silly enough to warrant a moment or two of your attention. Item…

Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Verification 1

We are finally at the most crucial part of the modeling process: proving if the damned thing works. Not "works" in the sense that we get good unobservable parameter estimates,…

Culture

Reactionary Movie: When Worlds Collide

Quite a while back there were calls asking for recommendations of reactionary movies. Besides The Caine Mutiny (which I have to review formally) and Logan's Run, the next one that…

Statistics

Another Proof Statistics Cannot Discover Cause

We discussed this before, but since it has come up recently in personal discussions, I wanted to offer this clarification. Suppose we're in a standard epidemiological situation, or even a…

Statistics

Pick A Random Number From 1-10

For even more edification, read this article in German: Denken Sie an eine Zahl zwischen 1 und 10. I'm picking a number between 1-10. What is the probability of you…

Statistics

New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof

Here is a link to the PDF. Briggs, William M., 2019. Everything Wrong with P-Values Under One Roof. In Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods in Economics, V Kreinovich, NN Thach, ND…

Statistics

A Case Of Bad Statistics In An IQ-Intelligence Study

We're going to soon talk more about "IQ" and "intelligence". I'm working on a more in-depth article on the subject to carefully explicate the vast over-certainties I see on "both…

Fun

Register Your Predictions For 2019!

As has been our tradition these many years, it's time to register our predictions for the coming year. We look at how well we did last year tomorrow. Rules: Number…

pouncer on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 23, 2026
Internet file "bit rot" doesn't wait for our individual deaths. I have a number of thoughts, (that I expressed carefully)…
Cary D Cotterman on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 23, 2026
One of my proudest elementary school achievements was when I successfully altered an "F" on the report card my teacher…
Michael on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 23, 2026
i deffinately miss paper tickets, especially on the rare occasion that I am required to fly. Electronics are a larger…
NLR on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 23, 2026
That is a good reflection. More evidence that the two things which are frequently said about the modern world: that…
Neil Jordan on Class 79: Time Series ExampleFebruary 20, 2026
Does the passage of time cause ice, or does ice cause the passage of time? Mystical statistical court of appeals…