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William M. Briggs

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Choose Predictive Over Parametric Every Time
Posted inClass Statistics

Choose Predictive Over Parametric Every Time

Gaze and wonder at picture which heads this article, which I lifted from John Haman's nifty R package ciTools. The numbers in the plot are made up whole cloth to…
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The Why & Frequency Of Miracles: Shapiro’s <em>The Miracle Myth</em> Reviewed — Part IV
Posted inBook review Philosophy

The Why & Frequency Of Miracles: Shapiro’s The Miracle Myth Reviewed — Part IV

Read Part I, II, III. MOTIVE That miracles have supernatural origins is true by definition (see below, in PROBABILITY). Miracles, like all events, must have causes, and cause has motive…
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Inference To An Explanation: Shapiro’s <em>The Miracle Myth</em> Reviewed — Part III
Posted inBook review Philosophy

Inference To An Explanation: Shapiro’s The Miracle Myth Reviewed — Part III

Read Part I, II. Did Jesus walk on water? Eyewitnesses reported he did. The event was so well remarked that people wrote of it at a time when most events…
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Inference To The Best Explanation: Shapiro’s <em>The Miracle Myth</em> Reviewed — Part II
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

Inference To The Best Explanation: Shapiro’s The Miracle Myth Reviewed — Part II

Read Part I. A researcher puts you into a room. On the table is a blue ball. Somebody put it there. It could have been Alice, Bob, or Charlie. Given…
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Profoundly Ignorant: Shapiro’s <em>The Miracle Myth</em> Reviewed — Part I
Posted inBook review

Profoundly Ignorant: Shapiro’s The Miracle Myth Reviewed — Part I

There is almost nothing to like in Larry Shapiro's The Miracle Myth: Why Belief in the Resurrection and the Supernatural is Unjustified. But, as Shapiro would be sure to agree…
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People Are Less Religious When Government Is Bigger
Posted inStatistics

People Are Less Religious When Government Is Bigger

This is making the news. A guy we've seen before is up to his usual statistical shenanigans in the peer-reviewed paper "Religion as an Exchange System: The Interchangeability of God…
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What Is It You Truly Desire — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture Philosophy

What Is It You Truly Desire — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Is it just me, or does anyone else feel this? Does anyone else perceive that there has been an upsurge in the discussion on the probability of Heaven/Hell No, not…
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Uncertainty Book Report
Posted inBook review Statistics

Uncertainty Book Report

Springer sent me the book report Uncertainty for 2017. Since its online publication on July 01, 2016, there has been a total of 16,765 chapter downloads for your eBook on…
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  1. aGrimm on Book UpdateOctober 16, 2026

    I'm looking forward to the book; warts and all the first was enlightening and fun to read.

  2. John Pate on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    I'm a big fan of LaTeX. I wrote a class package that made it into one or more of the…

  3. Ursula on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    i have your first edition which I read, pencil in hand foor the typos. Loved it anyway! Will be buying…

  4. Brian (buaoren) on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    Hello again, friend Briggs How colloquial is your French? Please allow me to be te first to wish you; Merde!

  5. Cary Cotterman on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    I just might buy a copy of the new edition, even though I already have the typo-ridden first one. I'll…

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