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William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

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Posted inStatistics

Nothing Is Distributed: So-Called Random Variables Do Not Follow Distributions

People say "random" variables "behave" in a certain way as if they have a life of their own. To behave is to act, to be caused, to react. This is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is No Such Thing As Intrinsic Probability

This is less fun than looking at the so-called principle of indifference, which you must read first, and I realize we're wading into the depths and on a Friday, but…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Physical Probability Doesn’t Exist

There have been many attempts to tie probability to physical chance. Here, briefly and for discussion, is why I think all of them fail. Ontology does not recapitulate epistemology Let…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

The Preponderance Of Evidence Criterion Is Absurd

Our beneficent government, through its Department of Education's Office of Civil Rights "sent a letter to colleges nationwide on April 4, 2011, mandating policy changes in the way schools handle…
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Posted inCulture

I Made “Climate Denial MVP”!

Gollum (who's he? see this post on the political witch hunt of scientists) wrote yesterday to announce that a group of us made the "Climate Denial MVP" List. I admit…
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Posted inFun

Coming Clean On My Global Warming Funding

Since the "Why models run hot" flap started a witch hunt in Congress, I thought I'd give the complete story of my funding for any work of any kind done…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Mysticism Of Simulations: Markov Chain Monte Carlo, Sampling, And Their Alternatives

Introit Ever heard of somebody "simulating" normal "random" or "stochastic" variables, or perhaps "drawing" from a normal or some other distribution? Such things form the backbone of many statistical methods,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Richard Carrier’s Argument To Show God’s Existence Unlikely Is Invalid And Unsound

In the comment section to an earlier piece of mine on Strange Notions, Richard Carrier invited me to "interact" with him through his article "Neither Life nor the Universe Appears…
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  1. KGB on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 5, 2025

    Cole's article, while reading like the diary of a jilted 7th grade girl, is the very embodiment of crying out…

  2. Briggs on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 4, 2025

    John W, Garrett, You are welcome.

  3. Richard S. on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    I'm sorry but must correct the record. I have been a radio fan since the early 1960s -- AM, FM,…

  4. John W. Garrett on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 4, 2025

    S.Sgt Briggs, Thanks for this near-perfect example of sophistry and thimble-rigging.

  5. Briggs on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 4, 2025

    JDinPA, CCReed, I see Cole's accusations, but he offers no proof. If he has it, he ought to give it.…

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