Search Results for “probability” – Page 81

Middle Ground Between Precautionary Principle & Inaction

From reader (and listener!) Phil Pilkington (there asterisks are original): Hi Matt, Loved your speech. Hyperskeptical Economist that I am, M Taleb did us some great favours in outlining the…

Book review

Sean Carroll’s “The Big Picture” Reviewed: Why “Poetic Naturalism” is an Oxymoron — Guest Post by Bob Kurland

Another version of this article first appeared at Kurland's site. Scientism, the belief that science can explain everything about the world and ourselves, is a religion, although not formally expressed…

Statistics

DDP: Quack Cures For What Doesn’t Ail Us, Part II

I'm at the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness meeting in No-History City, Louisiana. Here's Part II of (an earlier draft of) the speech I gave Saturday. Consider donating $1 for every…

Statistics

DDP: Quack Cures For What Doesn’t Ail Us, Part I

I'm at the Doctors for Disaster Preparedness meeting in No-History City, Louisiana. Here's Part I of (an earlier draft of) the speech I gave Saturday. Consider donating $1 for every…

Philosophy Statistics

Induction & Intellection: Excerpt From Uncertainty

Induction is badly misunderstood. Here is an abridged and augmented excerpt (how's that!) from Uncertainty's Chapter 3. There is no knowledge more certain than that provided by induction. Without induction,…

Statistics

Journal Hoax Shows Limits Of Scientific Publication

Stream: Hoax Shows Limits of Scientific Journals So the Neuroskeptic, a blogger for Discover magazine, submitted a nonsense paper to several journals, some of which accepted and even published it.…

Class Statistics

Example Of How To Eliminate P-values & Their Replacement

Many, many more details are available in Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics and at this page. Last time we learned that the way to do probability models…

Statistics

Eliminate The P-Value (and Bayes Factor) Altogether & Replace It With This

Good news and bad news. Good news it that there is a growing number of people who are aware that p-values are sinking science and they want to do something,…

Ray on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 12, 2026
Remember the old song by Morris Albert? Feelings Nothing more than feelings Trying to forget my Feelings of love ETC.
John M on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026
Yes, Happy Veterans Day from Petty Officer First Class John. I look forward to the book! I enjoyed the first.
Bill Hankel on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026
An impressive list that I shall look forward to reading when my wife (or son) buys it for me for…
Brian (bulaoren) on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026
Yes, time to stock up on necessities.
Cary Cotterman on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 9, 2026
I'm still laughing about "Debolina".