Books
EVERYTHING YOU BELIEVE IS WRONG Pre-published in December 2021, but officially in January 2022. Buy it. Errata page: submit typos and mistakes here, thank you. Free first chapter is here.…
Posted inStatistics
Shocking New Research: Hunger Motivates Eating
Ladies and gentlemen, the opening line of the peer-reviewed paper "Hunger promotes acquisition of nonfood objects" appearing in the (once) venerable organ Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, by…
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics
The Great Day Is Here! Uncertainty Meets The World
The Great Day---the Day yearned for by all humanity, or at least weakly anticipated by you, Dear Reader---has arrived! Let the trumpet sound and celebration begin! The release of Uncertainty:…
Posted inPhilosophy
The So’s-Your-Old-Man Fallacy
I'm on the road for the next several days and won't always have access to the Internet. So I'm reposting a series of classic fallacies. Regular service to resume early…
Posted inCulture
Can A Scientist Believe In Miracles? — Guest Post by Bob Kurland
Visit Kurland's site for more. "Miracles always relate to the faith. That is why a belief in miracles is not a vacation from reason, a little holiday from the tedious…
Posted inStatistics
Another Drake Equation Paper Shows Why Drake Always Fails
We've seen the Drake equation in many forms, none of them very impressive. They all share the same failing, as we'll see. Two fellows, Frank and Sullivan, have another go.…
Posted inStatistics
The Gambler’s Fallacy Proves Classical Statistics (Frequentist & Bayes) Fails
Everybody who's anybody---which makes, as we'll see, a lot of nobodies---knows the gambler's fallacy. Gambler watches the roulette wheel come up red six times running and says to himself, "Black…
Posted inStatistics
The End Of Class
Picture above was taken by one of my students near the end of the day, yesterday. Notice the "#1 New Release in Probability & Statistics." This adds to the laurels…