EVERYTHING YOU BELIEVE IS WRONG Pre-published in December 2021, but officially in January 2022. Buy it. Errata page: submit typos and mistakes here, thank you. Free first chapter is here.…
Ladies and gentlemen, the opening line of the peer-reviewed paper "Hunger promotes acquisition of nonfood objects" appearing in the (once) venerable organ Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, by…
The Great Day---the Day yearned for by all humanity, or at least weakly anticipated by you, Dear Reader---has arrived! Let the trumpet sound and celebration begin! The release of Uncertainty:…
I'm on the road for the next several days and won't always have access to the Internet. So I'm reposting a series of classic fallacies. Regular service to resume early…
Visit Kurland's site for more. "Miracles always relate to the faith. That is why a belief in miracles is not a vacation from reason, a little holiday from the tedious…
We've seen the Drake equation in many forms, none of them very impressive. They all share the same failing, as we'll see. Two fellows, Frank and Sullivan, have another go.…
Everybody who's anybody---which makes, as we'll see, a lot of nobodies---knows the gambler's fallacy. Gambler watches the roulette wheel come up red six times running and says to himself, "Black…
Picture above was taken by one of my students near the end of the day, yesterday. Notice the "#1 New Release in Probability & Statistics." This adds to the laurels…