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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Celebrating 4th of July Makes You Republican: Harvard Profs Say So

This post originally ran 1 July 2011. The authors never responded to my offer. Democrats! I beseech thee! Do not let thy children fly the flag on the Glorious Fourth!…
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Posted inCulture

An Afternoon At The Whitney With Modern ‘Art’– Guest Post by the Blonde Bombshell

A friend of mine, an aficionado and collector of modern art, brought me to the Whitney Museum in the Meatpacking District. I had been to the iconic flowerpot structure of…
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Posted inStatistics

Trend Models & The Inability To Discover Cause

The plot atop this post is one of an observable, the cause of which is known to be related to a variety of physical, chemical, biological, geographical, and even sociological…
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Posted inStatistics

You Need To Beat More Than Just The Odds

Note: this is a sketch of a talk I gave yesterday at a conference filled with computer programmers, network and software engineers. This is Las Vegas, the land of magic.…
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Posted inStatistics

Real Versus Statistical Control

The ideal experiment is one in which control is exerted over all aspects of an environment. We desire to measure an outcome; for ease suppose this is a simple number.…
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Posted inStatistics

The Alternative To Null Hypothesis Significance Testing

This article jumps right in with continuous-valued probability models, which are explained in Uncertainty, as is the subject of this article in great detail. This article is only a rough…
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Posted inCulture

Russia’s (Soft) War With The West, Part II — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Let us digress a moment and consider, as Svechin would, just what this word 'action' means to us in our present situation. Let us consider the peculiar nature of the…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Uncertainty Discussed At Vox Popoli

Vox Day kindly reprinted the review of Uncertainty by Jayne at the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons. Vox also has a copy of the book himself and there may…
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  1. Neil Jordan on Class 94: Quantifying The UnquantifiableSeptember 17, 2026

    At last, an opportunity to join you in the "Quagmire of Marginal Statistics." This and later quote are from memory…

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    How many of the breast milk lab techs (doesn't that sound filthy out of context?) were wearing latex gloves, known…

  4. JH on PFAS and Preservatives: Entrenching Chemophobia through Everyday Stuff — Guest Post by Jaap HanekampSeptember 16, 2026

    The alternative to preserved clay is, sooner rather than later, mouldy clay… Does this mean to create fear? There are…

  5. Cary Cotterman on PFAS and Preservatives: Entrenching Chemophobia through Everyday Stuff — Guest Post by Jaap HanekampSeptember 16, 2026

    Growing up in the late 1950s, I played with modeling clay almost every day. Who knows, back then it was…

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