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Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way

Be sure to review the RIGHT way from last week. Today, of the infinite number of ways to go sour, we look at one common way modeling goes awry. Video…
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Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way

If you cite, enjoy, or create "research" or "studies", this post is a must. I've eschewed all math (given next time in The Wrong Way) and focused entirely on the…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression

Review! We're doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren't far apart, because the observable for both lives between 0 and 1; for logistic it is 0 or 1;…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VII New (Free) Software Tobit Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VII New (Free) Software Tobit Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.3! Only the example code…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VI New (Free) Software Poisson Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VI New (Free) Software Poisson Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.22! Only the example code…
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Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part V New (Free) Software Multinomial Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.22! Only the example code…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IV New (Free) Software Logistic Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IV New (Free) Software Logistic Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.21! Only the example code changed…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part III New (Free) Software Regression 2
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part III New (Free) Software Regression 2

Mandatory! Read Part I, Part II. I will ignore all comments already answered in Parts I & II. Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This…
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  1. William Wallace on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 6, 2026

    I believe that the anger which creeps into conversations about whether or not AI can become sentiment has nothing to…

  2. NLR on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    I agree with the paper test; like the Chinese room argument, it is a way to illustrate that a mechanical…

  3. Briggs on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    Eric, Darn similar, and (I hope) simplified.

  4. Eric Brown on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    Isn’t this Searle’s Chinese Room argument? Not that I disagree with either of you…

  5. Rhetocrates on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    I disagree with the conclusion of the test. There is no need for panic or concern over the possibility of…

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