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Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 68: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The WRONG Way

Be sure to review the RIGHT way from last week. Today, of the infinite number of ways to go sour, we look at one common way modeling goes awry. Video…
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Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way
Posted inStatistics

Class 67: The Philosophy Of Models (Regression): The Right Way

If you cite, enjoy, or create "research" or "studies", this post is a must. I've eschewed all math (given next time in The Wrong Way) and focused entirely on the…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IX Stan — Logistic & Beta Regression

Review! We're doing logistic and beta regression this time. These aren't far apart, because the observable for both lives between 0 and 1; for logistic it is 0 or 1;…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VII New (Free) Software Tobit Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VII New (Free) Software Tobit Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.3! Only the example code…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VI New (Free) Software Poisson Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VI New (Free) Software Poisson Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.22! Only the example code…
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Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part V New (Free) Software Multinomial Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.22! Only the example code…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IV New (Free) Software Logistic Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part IV New (Free) Software Logistic Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.21! Only the example code changed…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part III New (Free) Software Regression 2
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part III New (Free) Software Regression 2

Mandatory! Read Part I, Part II. I will ignore all comments already answered in Parts I & II. Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This…
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  1. spaceranger on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 4, 2026

    I usually go with "b." or "Asia" on those multiple choice ones.

  2. Cary D Cotterman on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026

    Polar bears have existed for at least half a million years, and possibly as long as a million. They have…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026

    Dr. Briggs I was afraid I'd hijacked your subject today with my, rather dark, "Walter Lantz" cartoon. Returning to your…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So WellFebruary 4, 2026

    While we're on the subject of "Ursus Maritimus"; In 1987, a group of amusement denied boys decided to make an…

  5. hudbwu on Impossible LSAT Statistics QuestionFebruary 3, 2026

    > But that’s because the setup is itself weird. It contains the implicit premise that more beliefs equals better survival,…

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