Posted inStatistics
Why Statistics Can’t Discover Cause, And Bad Priors
My mailbag is filling up. Today two questions from readers, both about statistics. Feel free to send yours in on any subject. Tomorrow is a doozy. Question 1 From reader…
Posted inFun Statistics
Hear Briggs Speak Free on Why You’re Doing Statistics Wrong
Hear Briggs Speak Free! Where by "Free" I mean you pay my expenses. Here are the details. Hear the One And Only William M. Briggs The Statisticians to the Stars!…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Philosophy Of Uncertainty: An Introduction. Complete Preface. Update
Le livre, he is done! I yesterday sent a proposal to a philosophy editor at Cambridge. Not enough equations or pictures in it to pique the interest of the statistics…
Posted inCulture Statistics
Stream: So-Called Homophobia Now Being Labeled a ‘Mental Disease’
Today's post is at The Stream: "So-Called Homophobia Now Being Labeled a 'Mental Disease'". So now "homophobia" is being called a "mental disorder," where "homophobia" is defined in part as…
Posted inStatistics
Frequenstism Is Entirely Ad Hoc; And So Are Priors. Use The Third Way Instead
https://twitter.com/learnfromerror/status/638841417461276672 Short note today, because today, and most days for the next couple of weeks, are book days. I am nearly finished with the damned thing. I'm now handling drudgery…
Posted inStatistics
Trenberth Is Wrong About Global Warming: The PDO Is An Effect, Not A Cause
Kevin "Travesty" Trenberth had a peer-reviewed article in Science entitled, "Has there been a hiatus? Internal climate variability masks climate-warming trends." First, the word "hiatus" is wrong. Using it assumes…
Posted inStatistics
Having A Kid Worse Than Divorce Or Death? Wee P-values Say Yes
When I first ascend to Emperor, after throwing into the dungeon any within earshot who cannot speak a full sentence without using 'like', my first act will be to create…
Posted inStatistics
The Third Way Of Probability & Statistics: Beyond Testing and Estimation To Importance, Relevance, and Skill. New Paper
New paper up at Arxiv, which is a sort of précis to some key chapters in my book most relevant to probability and statistical modeling. Abstract: There is a third…