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William M. Briggs

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Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

An Introduction To Uncertainty: Probability, Statistics, and Modeling of All Kinds

This is a teaser, the first part of a 3,200-word narrative outline for the book that I've started to shop around. The current title is in the headline. Regular readers…
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Posted inStatistics

Paper Claims Surprisingly Strong Link Between Climate Change And Violence. Nonsense.

When does more crime happen, in winter or summer? Why? Too easy. How about this one: according to the FBI, what was the violent crime rate over time? No need…
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Posted inStatistics

Please Don’t Smooth Your (Social Media) Data!

Don't Don't smooth your data and then use that smoothed data as input to other analysis. You will fool yourself. You will make over-confident decisions. It is the wrong thing…
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Posted inStatistics

That Conservatives Smell Different Than Progressives Study Stinks

Several readers asked me to examine the peer-reviewed study "Assortative Mating on Ideology Could Operate Through Olfactory Cues" by Rose McDermott, Dustin Tingley, and Peter K. Hatemi appearing in the…
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Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

Statistics Good, Bad & Ugly

In an attempt to catch up on my 300-some emails (yes, the total has grown considerably; probably because of recent publicity), here are some articles sent in by readers that…
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Posted inStatistics

A Wandering Mind Is An Unhappy Mind?

The gentleman who runs Shadow To Light asked me to take a look at a paper which Sam Harris approvingly quoted. The 2010 peer-reviewed one-page paper shares today's title (sans…
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Posted inStatistics

Autism And Stem-Cell Derived Vaccines: Deisher’s New Paper

Background Stacy Trasancos asked me to review her post "Why Are Catholics Criticizing Dr. Theresa Deisher?", and in particular the paper "Impact of environmental factors on the prevalence of autistic…
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Posted inStatistics

That Innovation Is Negatively Correlated With Religion Study

Quick Quiz O' The Day: What do you get when you marry an abysmal knowledge of history, a sublime narcissism, an ignorance of the nature of evidence, a perverse hatred…
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