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All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings

Seventy-some researcher groups were given identical data, and asked to investigate an identical question. The groups did not communicate. Details are in the paper "Observing Many Researchers Using the Same…
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The New CDC Masks Mandate Study Is Not Good
Posted inStatistics

The New CDC Masks Mandate Study Is Not Good

https://twitter.com/ianmSC/status/1442965194150457344 How would you check if mask mandates worked in schools? I can think of only one way. Contrast kids in schools with mandates and in those without. Get them…
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The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd
Posted inStatistics

The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd

The media has been reporting that 37% "of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change". They gleaned this from the peer-reviewed paper, "The burden of heat-related mortality…
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Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake
Posted inClass Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…
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The Field Of Statistics Is Doomed — Unless It Abandons Testing & Parameter-Based Analysis
Posted inStatistics

The Field Of Statistics Is Doomed — Unless It Abandons Testing & Parameter-Based Analysis

The first part of this article also appears at the Broken Science Initiative. Go there to read it, too, and many other good ones by other authors. We already saw…
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Was Fisher Wrong? Whether Or Not Statistical Models Are Needed
Posted inStatistics

Was Fisher Wrong? Whether Or Not Statistical Models Are Needed

The answer is yes. Or, if you prefer, no. It depends. Here's a long query about the subject from friend-of-the-blog Kevin Gray. Over the years many have disagreed about many…
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On Having Jewishness—“There Is No Permanent Cure”, Says Scholar
Posted inFun

On Having Jewishness—“There Is No Permanent Cure”, Says Scholar

This, apparently, is the first draft of Donald Moss's peer-reviewed paper "On Having Jewishness", the final eventually appearing in the Journal of the American Psychoanalytic Association. The original Abstract in…
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Science Says Global Warming To Cause More Heart Attacks At Night, But Only For Crazy Men 60-64.
Posted inStatistics

Science Says Global Warming To Cause More Heart Attacks At Night, But Only For Crazy Men 60-64.

With the waning of the coronadoom panic, and our elites unable to juice sufficient consternation over Russia, they will have to turn to other objects to monger their fear. Global…
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