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William M. Briggs

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Posted inCulture Statistics

How’d We Do On Our 2016 Predictions?

This was an interesting year because we had a general dichotmous proposition of interest to many; or rather, two. Who would win the (Republican) primary and who would win the…
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Posted inStatistics

Scott Adams’s Climate Science Challenge

Scott Adams's Climate Science Challenge is of interest---thanks to reader Francsois for bringing it to our attention---because of his name-brand recognition. Here is the gist: So today's challenge is to…
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Posted inBook review Fun Statistics

The Full Briggs?

Our friend Joseph Moore at Yard Sale of the Mind, a site surely on everybody's list already, whose photograph appears atop this post, wrote It doesn't get much more civilized…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: Pope Francis and President-Elect Trump Disagree on Global Warming Threat

Pope Francis and President-Elect Trump Disagree on Global Warming Threat: ... Yet the Holy Father will try and use his bully pulpit to influence the incoming administration. With the notable…
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Posted inCulture

Plato, Bloom & Wan Baochang On The Destructive Power Of Bad Music

Wan Baochang (whom I learned of from Richard Spacek) lived some 1,500 years ago. According to the The Taoism Reader, Wan had a spiritual revelation in which he was told…
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Posted inStatistics

Breitbart: A Reply to the 375 Concerned Members of the National Academy of Sciences

Today's post is at Breitbart: "A Reply to the 375 Concerned Members of the National Academy of Sciences". Some 375 political activists attached to the National Academy of Sciences, supporting…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Pope Says Using Paper & Plastic A Sin

If you're a Christian, what do you suppose is the most pressing problem in the world today? The rapid fading of Christianity in the West? The dramatic increase in, and…
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Posted inStatistics

Stream: xkcd’s Global Warming Time Series Mistakes

Today's post is at the Stream: xkcd's Global Warming Time Series Mistakes. The popular web cartoon xkcd has provided a wonderful opportunity to plug my must-read (and too expensive) book…
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  1. C- Marie on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I understood much of the logic of this. Thank you, Matt! God bless, C- Marie

  2. shawn marshall on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    I asked Grok to assign probabilities to all the known facts about the Shroud of Turin and then calculate a…

  3. Rudolph Harrier on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    It's an interesting thought experiment. However, we will never have a practical implementation of the test because it would be…

  4. Briggs on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    hudbwu, You could be right.

  5. hudbwu on Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGIFebruary 9, 2026

    Caution: it may be that intelligence can not be confirmed by any behavioral test. For example, free will can not…

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