Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Ivy League Climate Skeptics
I received this email from Rob Fishman at the Huffington Post. My answer follows. I'm the social media editor here at HuffPost (and a Cornell alum). I came across your…
Posted inStatistics
What Is A “Climate Change Skeptic”? Assist With Definition
As requested by Richard Drake and J Ferguson, who began a conversation on a similar topic last week, this new post asks what is the best "opinion poll-ready definition of…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Model Selection and the Difficulty of Falsifying Probability Models: Part II
I hope all understand that we are not just discussing statistics and probability models: what is true here is true for all theories/models (mathematics, physics, chemistry, climate, etc.). Read Part…
Posted inStatistics
Are Tree Rings Low Pass Temperature Filters?
I don't know the answer to this question: I am not an expert in this area, and I haven't the time or resources to track down the data to discover…
Posted inStatistics
Planet Earth Al Gore Explains ‘Snowmageddon’: Fox News Story
I was quoted by Gene Koprowski in his Fox News story "Planet Earth Al Gore Explains 'Snowmageddon'". (This accounted for the several hundred Google and other search engine redirects to…
Posted inStatistics
Global Average Temperature: What It Isn’t
Update See also: Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference Word is going round that Richard Muller is leading a group of physicists, statisticians, and climatologists…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference
Update This post is mandatory reading for those discussing global average temperature. I mean it: exceedingly brief and given only with respect to a univariate time series, such as operationally…
Posted inStatistics
Climate Science And Significance: Wall Street Journal Takes On Statistics
Coin Flips and Dice Rolls Doug Keenan has a must-read piece in the Wall Street Journal on the time series analysis of global temperature (Thanks to Randy, Roger, and John…
