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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Overstretching Climate Change Attribution

Says Camille Parmesan and others, "The biological world is responding rapidly to a changing climate, but attempts to attribute individual impacts to rising greenhouse gases are ill-advised" (from the first…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Do The Rich Pay Their Fair Share?

The answer depends on which country you live. In the United States, the rich not only pay their "fair" share, they pay more. Even stronger, wealthy American citizens pay more…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference

Update This post is mandatory reading for those discussing global average temperature. I mean it: exceedingly brief and given only with respect to a univariate time series, such as operationally…
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Posted inStatistics

Global Average Temperature: What It Isn’t

Update See also: Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference Word is going round that Richard Muller is leading a group of physicists, statisticians, and climatologists…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Oscar Statistics: Money, Men, and Maturity; Plus Our Predictions

This article was written with the assistance of the very employable John Briggs, who did all the grunt work. Also see And The Winner Goes To...Oscar Statistics Wrap Up. Which…
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Posted inStatistics

Planet Could Be ‘Unrecognizable’ By 2050: Doom Just Around The Corner

If you are in your 40s now, as yours truly is (am?), then by 2050 you and the rest of our cohort will be dead or in our 80s. If…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

New York’s Induced Terminations Of Pregnancy

New York City's Health Department (motto: It's for your own good!) released its annual birth and death statistics, and the internet is aflutter, particularly over the numbers on abortion. "Raw"…
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Posted inStatistics

Victorian Book Title Statistics

How many times did the word "God" appear in the title of books published in England from the year 1789 to 1914? And how about "science"? And "truth"? Others? Well,…
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  1. McChuck on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 18, 2026

    The number of new climate change papers is proportional to USAID funding and inversely proportional to the number of new…

  2. Cary Cotterman on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026

    I'm not worried about "climate change" or "covid". I'm worried about what BS the money-hungry and power-hungry, and the useful…

  3. Tars Tarkas on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026

    "The graph is not normalized by number of scientists. In 1960, there were far fewer scientists than there are now.…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026

    This is probably wishful thinking but...might it be the academic climate that has changed?.....nah

  5. _Jim on You Can’t Con An Honest Man & The Case of Jason ArdayAugust 14, 2026

    And, just like that, he (apparently) self-exterminates. Found unresponsive and declared deceased where they found him today, Friday the 14th…

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