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William M. Briggs

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Posted inCulture Statistics

Government outlays: The Canadian Experience — Guest Post by David Ipperciel

In the post "Taxing the Rich Always Fails Eventually," Briggs states that, "It is rational to believe that these years [of decreasing deficits] will continue to be infrequent." I believe…
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Posted inCulture

Predict The Next Strangest Government Regulation

Perhaps the most fantastical regulation to launch recently from the collective hive-mind of the federal bureaucracy is the one which administrates the very breath of life. Yes, the Environmental Protection…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Taxing The Rich Always Fails Eventually

The solution Mr Obama proposed yesterday for increasing the federal budget was to raise taxes. He did not suggest taking a one-time chunk of money from those who earned it…
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Posted inStatistics

Overstretching Climate Change Attribution

Says Camille Parmesan and others, "The biological world is responding rapidly to a changing climate, but attempts to attribute individual impacts to rising greenhouse gases are ill-advised" (from the first…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Do The Rich Pay Their Fair Share?

The answer depends on which country you live. In the United States, the rich not only pay their "fair" share, they pay more. Even stronger, wealthy American citizens pay more…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference

Update This post is mandatory reading for those discussing global average temperature. I mean it: exceedingly brief and given only with respect to a univariate time series, such as operationally…
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Posted inStatistics

Global Average Temperature: What It Isn’t

Update See also: Global Average Temperature: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference Word is going round that Richard Muller is leading a group of physicists, statisticians, and climatologists…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Oscar Statistics: Money, Men, and Maturity; Plus Our Predictions

This article was written with the assistance of the very employable John Briggs, who did all the grunt work. Also see And The Winner Goes To...Oscar Statistics Wrap Up. Which…
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  1. aGrimm on Book UpdateOctober 16, 2026

    I'm looking forward to the book; warts and all the first was enlightening and fun to read.

  2. John Pate on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    I'm a big fan of LaTeX. I wrote a class package that made it into one or more of the…

  3. Ursula on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    i have your first edition which I read, pencil in hand foor the typos. Loved it anyway! Will be buying…

  4. Brian (buaoren) on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    Hello again, friend Briggs How colloquial is your French? Please allow me to be te first to wish you; Merde!

  5. Cary Cotterman on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    I just might buy a copy of the new edition, even though I already have the typo-ridden first one. I'll…

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