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Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee
Posted inStatistics

Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee

It would be a good joke to conclude "If Pr(Data we didn't see | Cause false) is small then Cause is true", but it isn't. People believe it. Peers review…
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The Right & Wrong Way To Do (Electromagnetic) Science: Interview With Hans G. Schantz
Posted inStatistics

The Right & Wrong Way To Do (Electromagnetic) Science: Interview With Hans G. Schantz

Dr. Hans G. Schantz, Principal Scientist at the Society for Post-Quantum Physics, is currently crowdfunding Fields & Energy Book I: Fundamentals & Origins of Electromagnetism, the first volume in a…
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World Ends In 25 years! Towns Become Slaughterhouses! Peter Thiel Disguises Self As Sheep!
Posted inStatistics

World Ends In 25 years! Towns Become Slaughterhouses! Peter Thiel Disguises Self As Sheep!

New Zealand! Where, at the end of the world, men are men, and the sheep are nervous. I don't mean end of the world, you understand, as in the bottom.…
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Deniers Refusing To Die From Climate Change Heat Waves
Posted inStatistics

Deniers Refusing To Die From Climate Change Heat Waves

The lurid headline! "Heatwave likely killed 263 people in London, study estimates". The "heatwave" was a small increase in daily temperatures experienced in the UK at the end of this…
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Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!
Posted inStatistics

Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!

We want Pr(H|Evidence), we get Pr(Data we didn't see | H false). And then everybody pretends they are the same. Why why why. Video https://youtu.be/WIZN3BesJps Links: YouTube * Twitter -…
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Research: Solar Activity Causes High Blood Pressure
Posted inStatistics

Research: Solar Activity Causes High Blood Pressure

In the Class, which I know all readers are dutifully following, bless you, I often cite Tyler Vigen's Spurious Correlations site. It is a glorious (growing) compendium of ridiculous results…
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The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In Science
Posted inStatistics

The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In Science

I received thoughtful questions from EB about my views of probability and how they fit with science. This is long, but the questions alone make it worth reading. The end…
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On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It
Posted inStatistics

On The Cult Of The Victim & Why We Must Reject It

I am not enough of a historian to say whether the Cult of the Victim forms in every dying civilization, but it sure has in ours. A Victim group is…
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  1. Briggs on Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is WeeAugust 28, 2025

    Willis, The same one you used in setting up the problem. After "millions of throws" (where the manner of the…

  2. Williis Eschenbach on Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is WeeAugust 28, 2025

    As always, William, good stuff. Say that I have a pair of dice. I suspect that they are loaded to…

  3. McChuck on The Right & Wrong Way To Do (Electromagnetic) Science: Interview With Hans G. SchantzAugust 28, 2025

    Briggs & Schantz - With a name like that, you two should go into business making small engines. But seriously,…

  4. Wm Arthurs on Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is WeeAugust 28, 2025

    Throwaway comments made by people who are confused about this sort of thing, gave me a clue to one of…

  5. DMA on The Right & Wrong Way To Do (Electromagnetic) Science: Interview With Hans G. SchantzAugust 27, 2025

    Sounds like Mr. Shantz would be interested in Randy Mills' work .

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