You can read along with me here. He opens: For most of the history of life on Earth, death has been treated as inevitable. Every organism is born, struggles briefly…

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. Pease don’t feel like you must. Yet, I have…

All my old Broken Science videos have gone missing, but I got lucky and was able to recover this one (I saved the Hillsdale speech from the beginning). Alas, though…

The simple reason to distrust numerology is that there are so many numbers that there are bound to be meaningless coincidences between them and the world. Indeed, since the store…

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. Pease don’t feel like you must. Yet, I have…

The highly hotly hoped for (well, by me) second edition of the award-eligible sure-to-be some-seller Everything You Believe Is Wrong is nearing completion. That is to say, it was done.…

You may have heard of the depressing contretemps at Cornell of late (written in the lady's (a hotelie) own words here, but I cannot recommended reading it). It is not…

The simple answer to today's titular question is no, Bayesianism cannot quantify true belief. This answer will disappoint the Effective Altruists, Rationalists, many professional statisticians, a score of others, and…