I was reading a draft of a book our own Fr John Rickert’s is working on. Visual Logic: Seeing Classical and Modern Logic: An Introduction, a neat little handbook showing how to […]
Probability is Logic
Probabilities For Unique Events, Like Nuclear War, Exists
This will appear obscure to you. It isn’t. The errors here are fundamental, and cascade all throughout science. They account for, in part, why science has become so bad. The politics are […]
Aella Girl’s Curious Spinning Circle Results: Why Do The Probabilities Match The Bets?
Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, Gab. Something fun on a lazy day. I was asked to comment on this tweet: Imagine a circle laid flat on a table, with a […]
Proof Probability & Statistics & AI Don’t Discover Cause
Everybody has read, or seen adaptations of, Bram Stocker’s documentation of Dracula, the undead count, unlate of Transylvania. From these pages and films, we all know how to kill a vampire. In […]
Top Scientists Plead For Someone To Calculate The Probability Of The End Of The World
Here’s how the AP climate doom article starts: Experts are ignoring the worst possible climate change catastrophic scenarios, including collapse of society or the potential extinction of humans, however unlikely, a group […]
Local & Necessary Truths In Mathematical Proofs — And Probability
This video requires little math beyond what used to be taught in college. Its speaker is Terry Tao, who some say is the world’s best living mathematician. Its (fun—truly) subject is gaps […]
On Cause In Probability Models
Note This post originally ran 11 June 2019 under the title “When Cause Is Not A Cause — Another Anti-P-Value Argument”. The post itself is extracted and modified from this set of […]
How To Gamble If You Must
Listen to the podcast at YouTube, BitChute, or Gab. Our title comes from a famous book by Lester Dubbins and Leonard Savage, which appeared at the beginning of the Bayesian Theoretical Resurgence […]
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