Search Results for “"time series"”

How Smoothing Time Series Generates Massive Over-Certainty

Day four of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…

Statistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…

Statistics

How To Discover Any Trend You Want In Climate Time Series

Day five of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…

Statistics

On The Limitations of AI: Predictions

This is on the philosophy (not mechanics) of the predictive limitations of so-called artificial intelligence models. AI is no different than other models in principle, being only statements which connect…

Statistics

Warming in Terms of Human and Natural Factors

Today's title is adapted from the peer-reviewed paper "The Detection and Attribution of Northern Hemisphere Land Surface Warming (1850–2018) in Terms of Human and Natural Factors: Challenges of Inadequate Data",…

Statistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…

Class Statistics

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…

Statistics

How Do Scientists & Soothsayers Know When They’re Right? Report on Fourth Broken Science Initiative Event

We had the fourth Broken Science Initiative event this past Saturday at the Castro Ranch in Aromas, California. Which is apparently where CrossFit got its start. Standing room only. Terrific…

NLR on The Unseen Bias In All ScienceJuly 7, 2025
It's a good thing that we don't fully understand intelligence or other topics in psychology or sociology. The knowledge might…
spetzer86 on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 7, 2025
If you'd like a wide selection of radio stations from around the world: https://radio.garden/visit/tefe-am/JSbjvYLx is pretty fun. It's always amazing…
Briggs on The Unseen Bias In All ScienceJuly 7, 2025
bruce, Absolutely nowhere will you find me "rejecting" IQ. The opposite is the case. I go out of my way,…
bruce g charlton on The Unseen Bias In All ScienceJuly 7, 2025
@WMB - I think you are off on a false trail here. Using "not perfect" as a reason for rejecting…
MikeW on The Sad End Of RadioJuly 7, 2025
Radio is not ending sadly. It is happily transitioning to internet streaming radio. My favorite is the Instrumental Channel on…