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Solzhenitsyn, Communism, Miracles & The Imposing Your Beliefs Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

Solzhenitsyn, Communism, Miracles & The Imposing Your Beliefs Fallacy

Words and phrases can drift over time, as you all know, sometimes coming to mean even the opposite of their original definition. Like awful, meaning first something worthy of awe,…
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Scientists Use The Double-Dog Epidemiologist Fallacy To Claim Breathing Induces Antibiotic Resistance
Posted inStatistics

Scientists Use The Double-Dog Epidemiologist Fallacy To Claim Breathing Induces Antibiotic Resistance

Thanks to AS! I don't have your email, so I hope you see this. The epidemiologist fallacy occurs when a scientist announces, directly or implicitly, that X Causes Y, but…
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Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy

There are a lot of new readers, and many may not yet have heard of the epidemiologist fallacy. Few tools have been as productive at generating The Science. You know…
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The Reason Why Much Science Is Broken: Every Use Of P-Values Is A Logical Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

The Reason Why Much Science Is Broken: Every Use Of P-Values Is A Logical Fallacy

I made this picture for my talk at the first ever public Broken Science event (videos coming soon): Everybody has heard the saying "correlation doesn't imply causation." Taken loosely, it…
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Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help Requested
Posted inStatistics

Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help Requested

I flatter myself that this is the best general thing I have written to explain why you must never, not ever, use a p-value, hypothesis test, "significance", Bayes value, or…
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Prominent Academic Asks: When And How Did Statistics Lose Its Way? 
Posted inStatistics

Prominent Academic Asks: When And How Did Statistics Lose Its Way? 

The question is not mine. It belongs to Philip Stark, who asked it of Deborah Mayo at a Berkeley lecture. Stark plainly asked five good questions: When and how did…
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Class 35: The Grand Scheme: All Of Probability & Uncertainty In 30 Minutes
Posted inStatistics

Class 35: The Grand Scheme: All Of Probability & Uncertainty In 30 Minutes

Here my friends is the whole of probability and uncertainty, in highlight form. A quick overview of where we have been, what we're doing, and where we're going. All can…
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William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – Thorinquiry
Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

William M. Briggs on Embracing Uncertainty and Stats as a False God – Thorinquiry

Thanks to EMM for the donation! I was interviewed by Duncan Thorin Shields (he goes by Thorin) last week. He asked the best questions I think I've ever been asked.…
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  1. N. Ominous on The Sun Made To Set On The British Empire – Via Science!May 15, 2025

    <> Yes, it's utterly absurd, but I'm not sure that it is an argument not to do the experiments. If…

  2. Tony Cooke on Class 50: Independence Versus IrrelevanceMay 15, 2025

    if you are using an Apple PC then you can use MathCapture to get the correct presentation of the probabilities…

  3. Chaeremon on The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An AcademicMay 15, 2025

    Re: business of conducting research> brave as I am, in 2008 I requested a quote from Science Exchange scienceexchange.com/s/about “Please…

  4. Greg Ostman on New Paper Says Flu Vax Increases Chance Of Flu: Let’s LookMay 14, 2025

    All Astro physics to me but how about just take the numbers of vaxed and unvaxed then see how many…

  5. Paul Murphy on The Nuances and Challenges of Federal Funding for Research — Guest Post by An AcademicMay 14, 2025

    Wow, what is that the naive outsider's view? In reality: 1 - you don't get tenure unless your name is…

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