Induction is badly misunderstood. Here is an abridged and augmented excerpt (how’s that!) from Uncertainty’s Chapter 3. There is no knowledge more certain than that provided by induction. Without induction, no argument […]
Preface to Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics
The book is now at a 15% discount at Amazon (I apologize for the price). Buy today. And buy again tomorrow! This will be linked permanently on the book’s official page. Springer […]
It’s World Statistics Day! Death To P-Values, Hypothesis Tests, And False Ascriptions Of Cause! #StatsDay15
Who said the UN doesn’t do anything useful? Courtesy of that august body, it’s World Statistics Day! Official statistics help decision makers develop informed policies that impact millions of people. Improved data […]
The Problem Of Grue Isn’t; Or, A Gruesome Non-Paradox About Induction
Skepticism about induction happens only among academic philosophers, and only in print. Tell an induction skeptic to take a long walk off a short dock or hint that his health insurance will […]
There Is No Such Thing As Intrinsic Probability
This is less fun than looking at the so-called principle of indifference, which you must read first, and I realize we’re wading into the depths and on a Friday, but I wanted […]
The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (Book. Sort Of.)
I have decided to let you, dear reader, help me finish my book, which I have tentatively entitled The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics. This is about the seventeenth version of the […]
On The Evidence From Experiments: Part II
Read Part I first. Outcome 3. This sound like good news for you, since all treatment Bobs got better and no placebo Bobs did. Congratulations! The treatment might have caused these cures. […]
Love Of Theory Is The Root Of All Evil
Love of truth, on the other hand, is the root of all that is good. Bill Whittle at PJTV very kindly produced a video entitled “Best. Sentence. Ever.” (it does not […]
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