Skip to content
Do Your Homework for Class
BLOG EMAILS ARE NOT BEING SENT: Checking into it
William M. Briggs

Statistician to the Stars!

  • Home
  • Books
  • About
  • Classic Posts
  • FREE CLASS
  • Home
  • Books
  • About
  • Classic Posts
  • FREE CLASS
  • Home
  • Philosophy
Probability Is Not Frequentist, Nor Math, Nor Real, Nor Subjective
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability Is Not Frequentist, Nor Math, Nor Real, Nor Subjective

I once had a guy walk out on me at a scientific conference, full of my peers. He and I were disagreeing about the nature of probability. The exact words…
Read More
The Frequency Interpretation Of Probability Is False: Some Reasons Contra von Mises
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Frequency Interpretation Of Probability Is False: Some Reasons Contra von Mises

What is the chance that "Donald Trump wins the 2024 Presidential election"? Impossible to say, says Richard von Mises, because the event is singular and must be embedded in an…
Read More
How “The Science” Is Created By Not Understanding Belief & Decision Are Not Uncertainty & Probability
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

How “The Science” Is Created By Not Understanding Belief & Decision Are Not Uncertainty & Probability

Stick with me on this not-so-easy subject, because I'm going to reveal a trick used to make you "Follow the Science!" Belief is an act. Uncertainty is a state. Decision…
Read More
There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability

Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn't. Bayes is…
Read More
Probability is Logic
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Probability is Logic

I was reading a draft of a book our own Fr John Rickert's is working on. Visual Logic: Seeing Classical and Modern Logic: An Introduction, a neat little handbook showing…
Read More
On The Logical Probability Of The Truth Of Mathematical Theorems
Posted inPhilosophy

On The Logical Probability Of The Truth Of Mathematical Theorems

I was reading through some of James Franklin's papers on logical probability in an effort to not embarrass myself when I make my speech at the Broken Science Initiative event…
Read More
Reader Question: Probability is not real in the sense that real life things are real
Posted inPhilosophy

Reader Question: Probability is not real in the sense that real life things are real

Anon writes: Mr. Briggs, I am trying to understand the statement in the title. It [probability] is a measure of uncertainty. It is a measure of what we know or…
Read More
Why Attempts To Control Opinion Cause Opinion To Diverge
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Attempts To Control Opinion Cause Opinion To Diverge

From Mars, John Carter reports in a wonderful essay discussing the Regime's attempts at manipulation says this: People don’t like being gaslit. The psychological techniques used by salesmen, con men,…
Read More

Posts pagination

1 2 3 … 47 Next page
Subscribe to Blog via Email

Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

Join 1,353 other subscribers
Tweets
My Tweets
  1. Phil R on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    ...and I saw 5 or 25 in the figure. The division answer never occurred to me. Got all the rest…

  2. Phil R on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    If someone asks a question that is conditional on some evidence or rule that they conveniently (or purposely) leave out,…

  3. McChuck on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    The answer for the pictured question is obviously '1', as the slot already has a '1' in it, which has…

  4. Briggs on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    Mark, That's exactly it.

  5. Mark on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    Wittgenstein gave some examples like this in his Remarks on the Foundation of Mathematics, a book I had no business…

Categories
  • Book review
  • Class
  • Culture
  • Fun
  • Philosophy
  • Podcast
  • SAMT
  • Statistics
Archives
Meta
  • Log in
  • Entries feed
  • Comments feed
  • WordPress.org
  • RSS - Posts
  • RSS - Comments
July 2025
M T W T F S S
 123456
78910111213
14151617181920
21222324252627
28293031  
« Jun    
Copyright 2025 — William M. Briggs. All rights reserved. Bloglo WordPress Theme
Scroll to Top