I was reading a draft of a book our own Fr John Rickert’s is working on. Visual Logic: Seeing Classical and Modern Logic: An Introduction, a neat little handbook showing how to […]
Probability is Logic
Nothing Has A Probability: Roulette Wheel Pays Off
There are two essential, crucial things to take from the article “The Gambler Who Beat Roulette“, and I beg that you will remember both: 1. You are meant to lose at casinos; […]
There Is No Problem Of Old Evidence In Bayesian Probability
Rationalists, like those at Less Wrong (think Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander), are prone to fetishsize Bayes theorem, seeing it as the key to all thought. It isn’t. Bayes is a helpful […]
On The Logical Probability Of The Truth Of Mathematical Theorems
I was reading through some of James Franklin’s papers on logical probability in an effort to not embarrass myself when I make my speech at the Broken Science Initiative event next weekend. […]
Probabilities For Unique Events, Like Nuclear War, Exists
This will appear obscure to you. It isn’t. The errors here are fundamental, and cascade all throughout science. They account for, in part, why science has become so bad. The politics are […]
Aella Girl’s Curious Spinning Circle Results: Why Do The Probabilities Match The Bets?
Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, Gab. Something fun on a lazy day. I was asked to comment on this tweet: Imagine a circle laid flat on a table, with a […]
Reader Question: Probability is not real in the sense that real life things are real
Anon writes: Mr. Briggs, I am trying to understand the statement in the title. It [probability] is a measure of uncertainty. It is a measure of what we know or do not […]
Proof Probability & Statistics & AI Don’t Discover Cause
Everybody has read, or seen adaptations of, Bram Stocker’s documentation of Dracula, the undead count, unlate of Transylvania. From these pages and films, we all know how to kill a vampire. In […]
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