Search Results for “random chance”

Reader Question: Probability is not real in the sense that real life things are real

Anon writes: Mr. Briggs, I am trying to understand the statement in the title. It [probability] is a measure of uncertainty. It is a measure of what we know or…

Philosophy Statistics

Dear Quacks & Experts: Your Loss Function Is Not Our Loss Function

Note to the colleague who wrote me. I lost your email! You asked excellent questions about the post Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix, which I meant…

Philosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix

A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…

Philosophy

Sphere Eversion, Free Will & Infinite Powers

Can a sphere be turned inside out, such that the outside becomes the inside, and vice versa, without creasing or tearing or poking a hole in the sphere? Obviously not.…

Philosophy Statistics

Uncertainty Discussed At Vox Popoli

Vox Day kindly reprinted the review of Uncertainty by Jayne at the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons. Vox also has a copy of the book himself and there may…

Philosophy

Real Philosophy Is Science — Guest Post by Old David

Editor's note: Old David, a.k.a. David Marwick from Australia, is familiar from the comment pages, and I thought it would be fun if he were on the receiving end of…

Culture Philosophy

Do I Exist?(Does Russia) Part II — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Read Part I here. So God has already acted. There is no potentiality left in Him, as Aquinas would say. After all, He's already done everything. There's nothing left to…

Philosophy Statistics

Randomness And The “Null” Hypothesis

Last week of teaching! Randomness is not a cause. Neither is chance. It is always a mistake to say things like "explainable by chance", "random change", "the differences are random",…

Hagfish Bagpipe on A Theory Of Mis- & Disinformation & Its Uses In PropagandaSeptember 19, 2024
Of course you're right about that Briggs, but what about Jew bombs in my phone, eh? If I hit "Post…
Johnno on Clintel essay: Pope Francis’ Climate Crusade or the erosion of faith in GodSeptember 19, 2024
"Anti-Pope Francis, well-informed and most certainly willingly, rejects the God he clearly will not serve wholeheartedly." Fixed. Besides which, we…
Johnno on A Theory Of Mis- & Disinformation & Its Uses In PropagandaSeptember 19, 2024
Good, good! Hopefully all this talky-paranoia infrastructure is in place for when Christianity takes back the power! I relish the…
Cary D Cotterman on A Theory Of Mis- & Disinformation & Its Uses In PropagandaSeptember 19, 2024
I guess I'll have to take Scotland off my bucket list of places to go. There is no way I…
JH on A Theory Of Mis- & Disinformation & Its Uses In PropagandaSeptember 19, 2024
Of course, Briggs is immune to misinformation and disinformation because he is an educated expert in areas such as climate…