Here is a true story. See if it rings any bells. Not in the story itself, which you likely won’t know. I mean see if it sounds like anything you hear about […]
The Limitations And Usefulness Of IQ
That Smarts Everybody knows that some people are smarter than others, and that some are teachable and some not. Well, some people do deny these facts, believing that if everybody started from […]
Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability
Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory. I’ll give […]
The Hot Hand: Statistical Fluke Or Genuine Article?
I’ll save you hunting through the text. It’s a real thing. If you want to know why, read on. If not, you just tell ’em W.M. Briggs sez so, which is enough […]
On Probability Leakage
Submitted for your approval, yet another paper. On Probability Leakage, posted at Arxiv. Once you, my beloved readers, have had a go with it, I’ll incorporate your comments in an updated version […]
Hayek Versus Keynes
The video “Fight of the Century: Keynes vs. Hayek Round Two” (via Econstories.tv) allows us to discern one reason why reporters side with the forces of large government. Hayek’s corner man is […]
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