I don’t think we’re clear on what simulation is NOT. RANDOMNESS IS NOT NECESSARY, for the simple reason randomness is merely a state of knowledge. Hence this classic post from 12 June […]
ET Jaynes in his must-have Probability Theory: The Logic of Science said, “It appears to be a quite general principle that, whenever there is a randomized way of doing something, then there […]
Reader question: Dear Dr. Briggs I regularly read your blog and have purchased both your books. I especially liked your book on Uncertainty, although I need to study it a second time. […]
RELEVANT ARTICLES New Paper! Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Solving the Evidential Crisis (link) New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof (link) New Paper! The Replacement For Hypothesis Testing (link) Randomization […]
Let’s drag the statistician’s hoary threadbare ball-filled bag out of the cupboard to make a point. In it are 3 white balls and 2 black. Using the statistical syllogism, we deduce the […]
Query: now that I’m a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don’t see how they’d help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via email. Next […]
Review! You must at least review the first lessons—all class material is on one page for ease. I’ll have more words about the mysticism of simulation, but I’ve said it all before […]
Mandatory! Read Part I. I will ignore all comments already answered in Part I. Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. Update If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.2! You must […]
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