Search Results for “simulations mcmc”

Class 37: Simulations Aren’t What You Think

There is nothing magical or mystical about simulations, and "randomness" has nothing to do with any of them. Let's remove the unrealistic thinking from simulations by understanding them for what…

Statistics

Moving Away From The Mysticism Of “Random” Numbers

ET Jaynes in his must-have Probability Theory: The Logic of Science said, "It appears to be a quite general principle that, whenever there is a randomized way of doing something,…

Statistics

The Difference Between Variability & Uncertainty In Risk

Reader question: Dear Dr. Briggs I regularly read your blog and have purchased both your books. I especially liked your book on Uncertainty, although I need to study it a…

Class Philosophy Statistics

The Gremlins Of MCMC: Or, Computer Simulations Are Not What You Think

I don't think we're clear on what simulation is NOT. RANDOMNESS IS NOT NECESSARY, for the simple reason randomness is merely a state of knowledge. Hence this classic post from…

FREE CLASS

UNCERTAINTY & PROBABILITY THEORY: THE LOGIC OF SCIENCE Links to YouTube, Rumble, Bitchute, and Twitter inside each class. Jayne's Book (first part). Class 1: Logic teaser (blog, Substack). Class 2:…

Class Statistics

Why The Bootstrap Seems To Work—And Why It Produces Over-Certainty

Let's drag the statistician's hoary threadbare ball-filled bag out of the cupboard to make a point. In it are 3 white balls and 2 black. Using the statistical syllogism, we…

Class Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis

Query: now that I'm a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don't see how they'd help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…

Class Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan

Review! You must at least review the first lessons---all class material is on one page for ease. I'll have more words about the mysticism of simulation, but I've said it…

Klimatická studie „dýchání p?ispívá ke zm?n? klimatu“ versus realita. Corbett?v report: Maska klimatického kultu smrti odpadává. 45 – Pr?vodce vzestupem duše on Scientists Discover Animals BreatheApril 18, 2025
[…] A navíc, opravdu pot?eboval celý tým dob?e financovaných „odborník?“ m?síce pe?livého studia a recenzovaný ?lánek v ?asopise, aby potvrdil,…
hudbwu on The Educational Empire Strikes BackApril 17, 2025
It's fun how the comment section is fast deteriorating into a bitchfight of University fans. xD > the Wail and…
Plantagenet on The Educational Empire Strikes BackApril 17, 2025
UCal Berkeley and Cambridge (UK) rank ahead of MIT
spetzer86 on The Educational Empire Strikes BackApril 16, 2025
Before you go too far, please remember the main reason that places like Harvard exist. MIT can only accept so…
Johnno on The Educational Empire Strikes BackApril 16, 2025
Empire Scientists should be sentenced to death by stoning using thick heavy binders containing their own government funded peer reviewed…