Time for an incomplete mini-lesson on theory confirmation and disconfirmation. Suppose you have a theory, or model, about how some thing works. That thing might be global warming, stock market prices, stimulating […]
We made Joker!
UPDATE: apologies to those who tried to comment from 1 am to 5 am EST Wednesday. My hosting service was doing maintenance and comments were locked out. All is well now. UPDATE […]
Wishcasting the McCain-Obama presidential election
Update: 2 March 2009. I am withdrawing this post, in the sense that I no longer think it is strictly accurate. See this post to see why. But I want to leave […]
I was wrong about wishcasting the election
I made a mistake when I wrote about wishcasting in the McCain-Obama presidential election. I’d like to thank Patrick Hadley for keeping up his criticisms which led to me to see more […]
I don’t know if it’s irony, but it is funny
A bunch of people have gathered in Washington DC today to protest global warming. Well, a presumed cause of it: coal burning. Here are two relevant images: The lesson is this: climate […]
Some pieces you should see
Wired article on copulas Reader Scott Bury forwarded this article from Wired on the probability function that many used to quantify the risk of certain financial instruments. You can think of a […]
More essential reading
A busy week, with many sending in links and ideas. Thanks everybody! Art That’s art, folks. I finally figured out how to get pictures off my crappy phone, so this pic comes […]
A new cure for insomnia
Just so you don’t think it’s all work and no play around here, I wanted to show you how we statisticians really unwind and let go. We write papers that as many […]
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