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Researchers Tell Models To Say People Will Die Without Your Money
Posted inStatistics

Researchers Tell Models To Say People Will Die Without Your Money

Here is how the political magazine Nature opened its article "25 million deaths: what could happen if the US ends global health funding: Models estimate the ginormous potential impact of…
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Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help Requested
Posted inStatistics

Let Go Your Wee P! — Reader Help Requested

I flatter myself that this is the best general thing I have written to explain why you must never, not ever, use a p-value, hypothesis test, "significance", Bayes value, or…
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Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness
Posted inStatistics

Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness

WARNING! If you're attempting to read this via email and not on the site, you might encounter problems: the text might look like gibberish. The LaTeX interpreter, which I need…
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Science: The Bigger The Hole In The Head, The More Politically Active
Posted inStatistics

Science: The Bigger The Hole In The Head, The More Politically Active

One lesson I've worked hard at imparting is that scientists, being generally of slightly above average intelligence, and sometimes more, excel at finding evidence which supports their beliefs. But that…
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A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence
Posted inStatistics

A Simple Argument Proving You Must Not Trust Standard Scientific Evidence

In my forced isolation, which was in many ways a gift, I took to thinking of my failures to convince people not to use or trust standard statistical evidence. Here…
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The Limitations Of AI: General Or Real Intelligence Is Not Possible
Posted inStatistics

The Limitations Of AI: General Or Real Intelligence Is Not Possible

This is Part II of The Limitations Of AI. See Part I: Predictive Ability. Forgive me this banality, but reminders of the obvious can bring clarity: AI runs on computers.…
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Butter Bad, Seed Oils Good, Says New Study
Posted inStatistics

Butter Bad, Seed Oils Good, Says New Study

Today a paper which proves my contention that governments ought to get out of the grant-making business. The "study" was funded by NIH, and conducted by "top" scientists at Harvard.…
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On Scott Adams’s Vax-Decision Analysis
Posted inStatistics

On Scott Adams’s Vax-Decision Analysis

Dilbert's Scott Adams posted a video on his reasoning behind his decision whether to get vaxed during the covid panic. He concludes that no one is now in a position…
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  1. Dana on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    I was cured of buying lotto tickets about 40 years ago when a Brisbane newspaper published an article about gambling,…

  2. John M on Register Your Predictions For 2026!January 12, 2026

    1. Substack stops copying social media on their homepage and when they realize Substack is for people who want to…

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    It's even worse; "Handicap" is now a forbidden term.

  4. hudbwu on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    Next time, Twitch livestream writing a computer program to make that bell-shaped graph. I'm sure there's a few people that…

  5. NLR on Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose MoneyJanuary 12, 2026

    The sports betting companies encourage people to risk money. It's fun, "everybody" is doing it, it's legal, you might be…

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