Statistics – Page 122 – William M. Briggs

Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing — Update: Paper Finally Live!

A new paper has been submitted to a well known journal, "Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing: Comments on 'Redefine Statistical Significance'", by David Trafimow, Valentin Amrhein, Fernando…

Statistics

Summary Against Modern Thought: Angels Know What We Know, And All At Once

See the first post in this series for an explanation and guide of our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles. All posts are under the category SAMT. Previous post. Today marks…

Book review Statistics

Math: Old, New, and Equalitarian — A Review

I have a new paper out in Academic Questions, a review, "Math: Old, New, and Equalitarian." Springer is charging a mere pittance for viewing it. Only $39.95. But I think…

Statistics

Quack Cures for What Doesn’t Ail Us — The Video of the Year!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w8CH50L7lPg This was my presentation from 35th Annual Doctors for Disaster Preparedness meeting, August 12, 2017, New Orleans, LA. My computer's sound card died so I cannot hear my dulcet…

Statistics

JASA: The Substitute for P-Values

The paper is finally out! The Substitute for p-Values. Here from the Journal of the American Statistical Association, Volume 112, 2017, Issue 519, Pages 897-898 is the abstract (this paper…

Statistics

How To Resolve All Probability Paradoxes: Apples In Sack Example

Via Alexander Bogomolny?: At 1 minute to midnight 10 apples fall into a sack. The same happens at half a minute to midnight, then at a quarter minute to midnight,…

Culture Statistics

Pew: Partisan Divides Over Political Values Widen, Part II

Read Part I first. On the subject of Islamic violence (see the picture leading the article), Pew says: While overall public views have shifted only modestly, the partisan gap on…

Culture Statistics

Pew: Partisan Divides Over Political Values Widen, Part I

Pew has a survey out which measures, sort of, our increasing political and cultural apartness (a.k.a. apartheid). The gap between the political values of Democrats and Republicans is now larger…

JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
Is there evidence that people believe probabilities, parameters, or mathematical objects exist physically in nature? The fact that mathematicians use…
JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025
Relevance is made more difficult when Y is allowed to vary, but the underlying idea is the same. Probability offers…
Tim on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 8, 2025
What are you playing at, Briggs? Some high-falutin' model equation junk that'll get twisted by politicians in the end anyway?…
Milton Hathaway on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 8, 2025
I have been making heavy use of the more well-known LLMs lately. I use them almost exclusively as "regurgitation engines",…
shawn marshall on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 7, 2025
Let us not discredit the demonic.