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Ladies & Gentlemen, We Are Losing
Posted inStatistics

Ladies & Gentlemen, We Are Losing

There are many stories, but this one is as good as any other. Long-time school teacher Peter Vlaming was fired for saying these words: "Don't let her run into the…
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What Lousy Philosophy Tells Us About Belief In Global Warming
Posted inStatistics

What Lousy Philosophy Tells Us About Belief In Global Warming

One reason people doubt global-warming-of-doom is because of lousy philosophers like N. Ángel Pinillos (note the New York Times-sophisticated inclusion of the accent). He wrote a piece entitled (in some…
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Biostatisticians: They Asked Us To Lie!
Posted inStatistics

Biostatisticians: They Asked Us To Lie!

The paper is "Researcher Requests for Inappropriate Analysis and Reporting: A U.S. Survey of Consulting Biostatisticians" by Min Qi Wang, Alice F. Yan, and Ralph V. Katz in Annals of…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis

Query: now that I'm a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don't see how they'd help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…
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Some Curious Results In World Poverty Rates — With Update People Say They Want (But Don’t)
Posted inStatistics

Some Curious Results In World Poverty Rates — With Update People Say They Want (But Don’t)

The tweet above is from Human Progress. Thanks to @WrathofGnon for the tip. It shows the number of people by region who live "in poverty". It is a stacked line…
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Next Time Somebody Asks You “What’s the Probability of X” Say This — Crucial Update!
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Next Time Somebody Asks You “What’s the Probability of X” Say This — Crucial Update!

Next time somebody asks you "What's the Probability of X", where X is any proposition, say this: there is no such probability. It doesn't exist. "Briggs, what's the probability of…
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Making P-values Weer To Achieve Significance Won’t Help
Posted inStatistics

Making P-values Weer To Achieve Significance Won’t Help

Mini-paper out in JAMA by Matt Vassar and pals: "Evaluation of Lowering the P Value Threshold for Statistical Significance From .05 to .005 in Previously Published Randomized Clinical Trials in…
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The Controversy Over Randomization And Balance In Clinical Trials
Posted inClass Statistics

The Controversy Over Randomization And Balance In Clinical Trials

There was a paper a short while back, "Why all randomised controlled trials produce biased results", by Alexander Krauss, in the Annals of Medicine. Raised some academic eyebrows. Krauss says,…
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  1. Briggs on Why Study Probability?November 19, 2025

    Willis, Now 4,500 words, but as a compensation it has code, so all can try. Thanks for pushing me. Answer's…

  2. Chad W Jessup on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 18, 2025

    I would like to add to your excellent post that there were probably thousands and thousands, if not millions, of…

  3. Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 18, 2025

    John, I don't troll. Never have, never would. Google "projection", there's a good fellow. I asked a question, hoping to…

  4. John Pate on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 18, 2025

    If only people still had faith in chicken entrails this would all be unnecessary.

  5. John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 18, 2025

    Eschenbach, you're trolling and Briggs humours you, it is amusing. Somehow Briggs can't shake off the embrace of scientism in…

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