Statistics – Page 126 – William M. Briggs

What Lousy Philosophy Tells Us About Belief In Global Warming

One reason people doubt global-warming-of-doom is because of lousy philosophers like N. Ángel Pinillos (note the New York Times-sophisticated inclusion of the accent). He wrote a piece entitled (in some…

Statistics

Biostatisticians: They Asked Us To Lie!

The paper is "Researcher Requests for Inappropriate Analysis and Reporting: A U.S. Survey of Consulting Biostatisticians" by Min Qi Wang, Alice F. Yan, and Ralph V. Katz in Annals of…

Class Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis

Query: now that I'm a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don't see how they'd help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…

Statistics

Some Curious Results In World Poverty Rates — With Update People Say They Want (But Don’t)

The tweet above is from Human Progress. Thanks to @WrathofGnon for the tip. It shows the number of people by region who live "in poverty". It is a stacked line…

Philosophy Statistics

Next Time Somebody Asks You “What’s the Probability of X” Say This — Crucial Update!

Next time somebody asks you "What's the Probability of X", where X is any proposition, say this: there is no such probability. It doesn't exist. "Briggs, what's the probability of…

Statistics

Making P-values Weer To Achieve Significance Won’t Help

Mini-paper out in JAMA by Matt Vassar and pals: "Evaluation of Lowering the P Value Threshold for Statistical Significance From .05 to .005 in Previously Published Randomized Clinical Trials in…

Class Statistics

The Controversy Over Randomization And Balance In Clinical Trials

There was a paper a short while back, "Why all randomised controlled trials produce biased results", by Alexander Krauss, in the Annals of Medicine. Raised some academic eyebrows. Krauss says,…

Culture Statistics

An Illustration Of Type I Scientism

Regular readers will recall there are two Types of Scientism. Type I is belief that Science is needed to verify commonplace truths. Type II is the belief that only Science…

R W Pearson on Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis ShootingJanuary 14, 2026
Three shots explained by Larry Correia on X. https://x.com/monsterhunter45/status/2009732767249248405?s=20
hudbwu on Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis ShootingJanuary 13, 2026
So we're just not going to talk about the three shots?
Cary D Cotterman on Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis ShootingJanuary 13, 2026
No news source is perfect. Fox openly owns their conservative point of view. NPR lies about being unbiased. Even with…
Randy Middleton on Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis ShootingJanuary 13, 2026
I saw this exact quote posted in a blog post from someone else. Captain: What we've got here is... failure…
Tars Tarkas on Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis ShootingJanuary 13, 2026
"(I have in the queue a story on confirmation bias of academic Experts that confirms my bias that academic Experts…