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New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty
Posted inStatistics

New Paper: Parameter-Centric Analysis Grossly Exaggerates Certainty

By moi as well. Paper link. Abstract: The reason probability models are used is to characterize uncertainty in observables. Typically, certainty in the parameters of fitted models based on their…
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That Cofnas Paper On Research On Group Differences In Intelligence
Posted inStatistics

That Cofnas Paper On Research On Group Differences In Intelligence

Find by general acclaim the smartest man in the world. Call this man "Group A". Call everybody else "Group B". There will necessarily be a group difference in mean intelligence,…
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Remarks On Pew’s Polarized Partisan Poll
Posted inStatistics

Remarks On Pew’s Polarized Partisan Poll

Pew has a large survey out with the title "In a Politically Polarized Era, Sharp Divides in Both Partisan Coalitions: Partisanship remains biggest factor in public's political values." I have…
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New Paper: Don’t Test, Decide — Updated: Now With Paper Link!
Posted inStatistics

New Paper: Don’t Test, Decide — Updated: Now With Paper Link!

Paper link. By moi. Abstract: There is no reason to use traditional hypothesis testing. If one's goal is to assess past performance of a model, then a simple measure or…
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Reader Question On Sea Level Data Precision — Help Requested
Posted inStatistics

Reader Question On Sea Level Data Precision — Help Requested

From reader Kip Hansen comes a long but good (and slightly edited) question on sea level data. I can only answer part of it, because I have no expertise in…
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The Political Corruption Of Science — Grade Manipulation In STEM Edition
Posted inStatistics

The Political Corruption Of Science — Grade Manipulation In STEM Edition

Here are two recent examples, of many, with many more to come, of the pozzing of science by grade deflation. Meaning the lowering of standards as measured by grades. LADIES…
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The Political Corruption Of Science — Sex Assigned At Birth Edition
Posted inStatistics

The Political Corruption Of Science — Sex Assigned At Birth Edition

A peer-reviewed paper that caused a ripple in awareness before Christmas is worth investigating. Outlets ran headlines like this: "Trans children sense their gender identities at young ages, study suggests."…
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On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper
Posted inStatistics

On That Climate-Change-Now-Detectable-From-Any-Single-Day-Of-Weather Paper

The peer-reviewed paper is "Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale" by Sippel and Knutti an others in Nature: Climate Change. Look at that…
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  1. Ray on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 12, 2026

    Remember the old song by Morris Albert? Feelings Nothing more than feelings Trying to forget my Feelings of love ETC.

  2. John M on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026

    Yes, Happy Veterans Day from Petty Officer First Class John. I look forward to the book! I enjoyed the first.

  3. Bill Hankel on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026

    An impressive list that I shall look forward to reading when my wife (or son) buys it for me for…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026

    Yes, time to stock up on necessities.

  5. Cary Cotterman on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 9, 2026

    I'm still laughing about "Debolina".

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