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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan

Review! You must at least review the first lessons---all class material is on one page for ease. I'll have more words about the mysticism of simulation, but I've said it…
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Governments Demand Encryption Backdoors
Posted inCulture Statistics

Governments Demand Encryption Backdoors

The Blonde Bombshell warned us about the "Five Eyes". It's illegal for our most beneficent government, which loves us and only wants what is best for us, to spy on…
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Pew’s Materialistic Mix Up
Posted inCulture Statistics

Pew’s Materialistic Mix Up

Pew has a new survey result with title Americans are far more religious than adults in other wealthy nations. Key was the picture below---or at their site, bigger and better,…
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That Paper About Hiring Chief Diversity Officers At Universities
Posted inStatistics

That Paper About Hiring Chief Diversity Officers At Universities

The paper is "The Impact of Chief Diversity Officers on Diverse Faculty Hiring" by Steven W. Bradley, James R. Garven, Wilson W. Law, and James E. West. (Thanks to John…
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Judea Pearl Is Wrong On AI Identifying Causality, But Right That AI Is Nothing But Curve Fitting
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Judea Pearl Is Wrong On AI Identifying Causality, But Right That AI Is Nothing But Curve Fitting

Yep I've disagreed with Judea Pearl before on causality, and I do so again below; but first some areas of agreement. Some deep agreement at that. Pearl has a new…
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Chaos & Outrage In The Church  — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inStatistics

Chaos & Outrage In The Church — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Chaos and outrage have again engulfed the Church. We must talk about this incredibly ugly and painful boil on the Body of Christ. To lance a boil, you must insert…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VII New (Free) Software Tobit Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VII New (Free) Software Tobit Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.3! Only the example code…
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Does It Mean I’m Psychic?
Posted inStatistics

Does It Mean I’m Psychic?

Years ago I wrote and self-published for fun the book So, You Think You're Psychic? You can download a free PDF of it on the Books page. There's nothing wrong…
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  1. NLR on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    I agree with the paper test; like the Chinese room argument, it is a way to illustrate that a mechanical…

  2. Briggs on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 5, 2026

    Eric, Darn similar, and (I hope) simplified.

  3. Eric Brown on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    Isn’t this Searle’s Chinese Room argument? Not that I disagree with either of you…

  4. Rhetocrates on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    I disagree with the conclusion of the test. There is no need for panic or concern over the possibility of…

  5. C-Marie on The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In KindMarch 4, 2026

    God is!!! Well done, Matt!! Loved this! Great explanations .... even understood much of it at 82 years!!! Am sending…

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