Posted inStatistics
Nate Silver’s Obama Prediction: What Does It Mean?
It was Sophocles who first noted the truism, "No one loves the messenger who brings bad news." But the converse is also true. As it is written (in Romans 10:15),…
Posted inStatistics
Does Barack Obama Have A Mandate? A Look At The Numbers
How important was Barack Obama's victory? By what measure can he be said to have secured a "mandate"? How does his election compares to others? And how do voters in…
Posted inCulture Statistics
Many Lie About Their Support Of Gay Marriage: Study
Thanks to New York Times's (yes) Russ Douthat who alerted us to the paper "Findings from a Decade of Polling on Ballot Measures Regarding the Legal Status of Same Sex…
Posted inFun Statistics
Obama Wants Statisticians!
"Politics as done by Martians." That's Peggy Noonan's phrase, to describe President Obama's call for and use of statisticians and data miners in his re-election campaign. The hiring of such…
Posted inStatistics
Global Warming Beliefs, New Poll
I'm still on the road this week, with my access to the internet sporadic. Email or phone is the best way to find me. Rasmussen reports that, "69% Say It's…
Posted inCulture Statistics
The Environmentalist Fallacy Causing Global Warming Divide To Grow
A headline lifted from an MS-"Bias free"-NBC story: "Americans' divide over global warming getting deeper" (linked on HotAir). Subtitle: "Despite onslaught of science, resistance to the idea seems to be…
Posted inBook review
America’s Security and Taiwan’s Freedom — Guest Post by June Teufel Dreyer
We return to a topic which is of more importance than you want it to be: the possibility of Chinese belligerence. June Teufel Dreyer is a political science professor at…
Posted inStatistics
There Is No Such Thing As A Scientific Poll
There is no such thing as an unscientific one, either. A poll is this: a question or questions that are interpreted and answered by a group of individuals at a…
