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William M. Briggs

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Posted inStatistics

Union Of Nervous Scientists Hate Facts About Global Warming

Stream: Union Of Nervous Scientists Hate Facts About Global Warming: Don't say 'climate change'. We were promised global warming. No scientist I have ever met has ever---and I mean never---denied…
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Posted inStatistics

Tests For Randomness Aren’t What You Think

Here is a random event. When I wrote this article I either had a quarter or a nickel in my pocket; I did not have both. Did I have a…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Decision Analysis Isn’t Straightforward

Vast subject, decision analysis, but we can get a grip on a corner of it if we consider the simplest of problems, the do-don't do, yes-no, gonna happen-ain't gonna happen,…
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Posted inStatistics

You Need To Beat More Than Just The Odds

Note: this is a sketch of a talk I gave yesterday at a conference filled with computer programmers, network and software engineers. This is Las Vegas, the land of magic.…
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Posted inStatistics

Two Common Statistical Fallacies

Here are two fun fallacies, excerpted from a paper I wrote a couple of years ago in the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons. For more on this sort of…
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Posted inStatistics

Real Versus Statistical Control

The ideal experiment is one in which control is exerted over all aspects of an environment. We desire to measure an outcome; for ease suppose this is a simple number.…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

Don’t Be Uncertain: Buy Uncertainty!

The Restoration has begun! Participate by buying Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics. Money spent wisely I do not say revolution, but Restoration. It is past time to…
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Posted inStatistics

A Simple (But Not Short) Stats Question

From reader JH: Thank you again for taking the time to write your blog. It is exceptionally thought-provoking. My job involves much of the six sigma "capability" studies and such.…
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  1. gareth on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 7, 2026

    Well written Briggs. When people, informed by BBC or Sky, used to say "that Idiot Trump" or whatever, I used…

  2. Uncle Mike on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    On Easter Sunday no less. I recall when Joe Dementia declared Easter to be National Tranny Day. I thought he…

  3. Johnno on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    Hey Cary D... what about those countries run by religious lunatics who have made it very clear they want the…

  4. JDinPA on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    Cary D Cotterman: You’ve made a case, at most, for one or more of the nations of Western Europe going…

  5. shawn marshall on Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The WarApril 6, 2026

    unfortunately I think that is the reality....

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