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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Somebody-Might-Get-Hurt! Fallacy

Word is our beneficent government, which loves us and would not see us fall into harm, is working on a design for a system of chains to anchor both citizens…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Boys’ Toys V. Girls’ Toys: Researchers Still Trying To Prove They’re The Same

Last Thursday I was at the warthog park at the butt end of 57th street on the East river, reading and enjoying the rare sunshine. Nannies and moms (mostly nannies)…
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Posted inStatistics

The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (Book. Sort Of.)

I have decided to let you, dear reader, help me finish my book, which I have tentatively entitled The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics. This is about the seventeenth version…
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Posted inBook review Statistics

My Genes Made Me Vote For Obama: Predisposed Reviewed

Predisposed: Liberals, Conservatives, and the Biology of Political Differences by John Hibbing, Kevin Smith, and John Alford. If a conservative is a person who clings to what is, who resists…
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Posted inStatistics

Another Fool Calls For My Arrest: Or, Adam Weinstein Slips A Nut

Another eek-screeching scrawny-brained bug-witted pretty-boy addled cancerous ferret has called for my arrest. My crime? Sanity. Adam Weinstein (@AdamWeinstein), writing at a place with the puerile name of "Gawker"---come to…
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Posted inBook review Culture Statistics

Party’s Over, Baby: The Twilight of Abundance Reviewed

The Twilight of Abundance: Why Life in the 21st Century Will Be Nasty, Brutish, and Short by David Archibald, visiting Fellow Institute of World Politics. I am a curmudgeon, which…
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Posted inStatistics

On Nate Silver’s Republicans-Take-The-Senate Prediction

Yet the first bringer of unwelcome news Hath but a losing office, and his tongue Sounds ever after as a sullen bell, Remember'd tolling a departing friend. ---Henry IV, part…
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Posted inStatistics

Evidence Does Not Support Low Consumption Of Total Saturated Fats

The full version of the headline is this: Current evidence does not clearly support cardiovascular guidelines that encourage high consumption of polyunsaturated fatty acids and low consumption of total saturated…
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  1. Maypo on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    Wow, (re)reading a TOFian essay makes it so blasted plain how much I miss the man. May he rest in…

  2. hudbwu on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    > If I were God, and loved rational creatures, I would make myriad rational species; He should come back in…

  3. NLR on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    What gets me about these kind of arguments is that they presuppose too much. People will have extensive debates about…

  4. Briggs on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    Cary, You have read incompletely. God is a necessary being, else there could be no world. That is the classical…

  5. Cary Cotterman on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionJuly 29, 2025

    "I, a man of 10,000, 5,000, or 2,000 years ago, cannot see how the world functions, therefore I posit (invent)…

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