William M. Briggs

Chant this until it becomes part of your soul: There is no such thing as unconditional probability. Once you have that, endless "problems" people have "discovered" about probability vanish. Today…

The title quote is from David Stove, coming in a 1985 essay entitled "Jobs for Girls". That date is as good as any to celebrate as the birth of Woke,…

My joy is great. And growing: I responded on Twitter (follow me): "You might not know it, but this is a MAJOR VICTORY of outstanding proportions. Overhead is what fed…

Most heard the news there is a 2.4% chance a giant rock from space bringing something like an 8 Megaton blast might whack us in 2032. But I was interested…

There is nothing magical or mystical about simulations, and "randomness" has nothing to do with any of them. Let's remove the unrealistic thinking from simulations by understanding them for what…

This is my story. You will have yours, which we'd like to hear below. Back in 2016, Roger Kimball organized the Scholars and Writers for America in support of Trump's…

Two items over the past week revealed many who are pretty sure the End is Nigh. The Doomsday Clock clicked forward, and certain AI celebrities were caught wringing their hands.…

You'll do yourself, and the world, a tremendous service when every time you see or hear "AI" you substitute "computer model". This is because "AI", so-called artificial intelligence, is a…