Introduction There isn’t as much space between explanation and prediction as you’d think; both are had from the same elements of the problem at hand. Here’s how it all works. I’ll illustrate […]
The Deadly Sin Of Reification! Day Three
Zeno Phobia Counting day. How many ways can you skin a cat if the number of sharp versus dull knives is this and such. Simple stuff, easy to get the hang off. […]
Preface: The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics, An Introduction
%This is the Preface of The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics, An Introduction coming before Preface and before the chapters on Truth and Logic. Note the New & Improved title! Since this […]
The Data Is The Data, Not The Model: With Climatology Time Series Example
How not to plot The following plot was sent to me yesterday for comment. I cannot disclose the sender, nor the nature of the data, but neither of these are the least […]
A Common Fallacy In Global Warming Arguments
Our post today is provided by Terry Oldberg, M.S.E., M.S.E.E., P.E. Engineer-Scientist, Citizen of the U.S. That’s a lot of letters, Terry! Oldberg joined our Spot the Fallacy Contest, which had been […]
Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part II
Part I, II, III, IV, V. Before us are the observations X1 to X156. Recall we are assuming that each of these X has been measured without any error. Given that we […]
Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part III
Part I, II, III, IV, V. The objection which will occur to those, Lord help them, who have had some statistical training is that “increased” means a combination of “linear increase” and […]
Let’s Try This Time Series Thing Again: Part IV
Part I, II, III, IV, V. We have before us X1 to X156. We started by assuming that something, called T, caused these data to take the values it did. We agreed […]
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