I stole today’s title from David Papineau’s essay “Thomas Bayes and the crisis in science“, which many readers sent in. When I was in grad school bad in the early to mid […]
Bayesian Theorists Were Little Better Than Cranks
There Is No Prior? What’s A Bayesian To Do? Relax, There’s No Model, Either
I saw colleague Deborah Mayo casting, or rather trying to cast, aspersions on Bayesian philosophy by saying there is “no prior”. Bayesians might not agree, but it’s true. Mayo’s right. There is […]
Coronavirus Update VI — Calm Yourselves
All the good stuff, caveats, code, and explanations are linked, some in Update III, and the most important in Update II, Update IV, Update V, and Bayes Theorem & Coronavirus, so go […]
Is Presuming Innocence A Bayesian Prior?
Note An earlier version of this post was accidentally sent out in unedited form. My enemies caused me to hit the wrong button. Subscribers: apologies for the near duplicate email. I don’t […]
Uncertainty: The Soul of Models, Probability & Statistics. Chapter Abstracts
This post originally appeared right before the Uncertainty did. Now that we’re 1.5 years out, it’s time for a re-post. Buy it now, but it today, and buy it again tomorrow! Chapter […]
Nature: “‘One-size-fits-all’ threshold for P values under fire.” Good. Shoot Them All Down
Nature magazine reports “‘One-size-fits-all’ threshold for P values under fire: Scientists hit back at a proposal to make it tougher to call findings statistically significant.” Researchers are at odds over when to […]
Free Data Science Class: Predictive Case Study 1, Part VI
Review! This class is neither frequentist nor Bayesian nor machine learning in theory. It is pure probability, and unlike any other class available. And for the right price! Last time we completed […]
Bayesian Statistics Isn’t What You Think
Back to our Edge series. Sean Carroll says Bayes’s Theorem should be better known. He outlines the theorem in the familiar updating-prior-belief formula. But, as this modified classic article shows, this is […]
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