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More Proof Hypothesis Testing Is Wrong & Why The Predictive Method Is The Only Sane Way To Do Statistics
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Proof Hypothesis Testing Is Wrong & Why The Predictive Method Is The Only Sane Way To Do Statistics

Here it is, friends, the one complete universal simple function, the only function you will ever need to fit any---I said any---dataset x. And all it takes is one---I said…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Are P-Values?

Contributor William Raynor sets us a task: Hi Matt, ...I'd still like to see if you can write a column about what an empirical p-value really is without mentioning the…
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Celebrating The Court’s Common Sense — And Lamenting Its Mistake
Posted inCulture Philosophy

Celebrating The Court’s Common Sense — And Lamenting Its Mistake

The OSHA opinion is here: the "Health" opinion is here. We earlier went through the Fifth Circuit quashing the OSHA mandate. The Court ruled twice yesterday. Once on the OSHA…
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Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty
Posted inPhilosophy

Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty

This invited paper (which I forgot to post!) appeared in the festschrift for Hung T. Nguyen, previously at New Mexico State University and now at Chiang Mai University, to celebrate…
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Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix

A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…
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Does Admitting Spengler’s End Of Science Mean We Have To Accept Ways Of Knowing?
Posted inPhilosophy

Does Admitting Spengler’s End Of Science Mean We Have To Accept Ways Of Knowing?

Let's expand a point made in the post Blish & Spengler On The End Science. Both Blish, in his summary of Spengler, and Spengler himself, said that West Civilization (in…
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Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Ending The Tyranny Of Parameters!
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Ending The Tyranny Of Parameters!

Here it is! The one, the only, the peer-reviewed (and therefore true) "Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Solving the Evidential Crisis" (the link is to the pdf, which is 11 MB;…
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The Problem With Ethical Egoism — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor
Posted inPhilosophy

The Problem With Ethical Egoism — Guest Post by The Cranky Professor

Ethical egoism is the position that says that one ought to value oneself above others and that one ought to always act with the aim of benefiting oneself. Ethical egoism…
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  1. Briggs on Jung’s Synchronicity & CoincidenceJuly 17, 2025

    Scott, One of my hobbies is mentalism, mental magic---I even performed a trick on a Vegas stage! I have lots…

  2. James on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 16, 2025

    The Aquatic Ape Hypothesis might be worthy of exploring for bad science: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aquatic_ape_hypothesis

  3. Scott Locklin on Jung’s Synchronicity & CoincidenceJuly 16, 2025

    There was a book on the correspondence between Jung and Wolfgang Pauli (who was a genius, but also an alcoholic…

  4. Ralph Mertesdorf on Vegetarians Crave Power And Success More Than Meat Eaters Do, Study FindsJuly 16, 2025

    I found another headline at that "Study Finds" site" "Many Texas Communities Are Dangerously Unprepared For Floods, And Lack Of…

  5. Tars Tarkas on Vegetarians Crave Power And Success More Than Meat Eaters Do, Study FindsJuly 16, 2025

    "39. She always wants to be the one who makes the decisions. She likes to be the leader." This is…

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