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Spurious Correlations Proves Hypothesis Testing Should Be Abandoned
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Spurious Correlations Proves Hypothesis Testing Should Be Abandoned

This week traditionally is a slow week on the blog, so let me have a go at explaining something I've explained a few hundred times before, a thing which has…
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David Stove Exposes Karl Popper’s Wee P!
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

David Stove Exposes Karl Popper’s Wee P!

We have discussed before (and in detail here) how Fisher, inventor of the wee P of which scientists boast ("Look how small my P is!" shouted the excited scientist), was…
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Why Dembski’s Design Inference (Of Causation) Goes Wrong
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Dembski’s Design Inference (Of Causation) Goes Wrong

Probability does not exist; therefore, nothing has a probability, so nothing can be caused by probability, though the uncertainty of statements can be had conditional on assumptions, and this probability…
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More Proof Hypothesis Testing Is Wrong & Why The Predictive Method Is The Only Sane Way To Do Statistics
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Proof Hypothesis Testing Is Wrong & Why The Predictive Method Is The Only Sane Way To Do Statistics

Here it is, friends, the one complete universal simple function, the only function you will ever need to fit any---I said any---dataset x. And all it takes is one---I said…
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Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty
Posted inPhilosophy

Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty

This invited paper (which I forgot to post!) appeared in the festschrift for Hung T. Nguyen, previously at New Mexico State University and now at Chiang Mai University, to celebrate…
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Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix

A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…
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The Limitations And Usefulness Of IQ
Posted inCulture Philosophy Statistics

The Limitations And Usefulness Of IQ

That Smarts Everybody knows that some people are smarter than others, and that some are teachable and some not. Well, some people do deny these facts, believing that if everybody…
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Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Ending The Tyranny Of Parameters!
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Ending The Tyranny Of Parameters!

Here it is! The one, the only, the peer-reviewed (and therefore true) "Reality-Based Probability & Statistics: Solving the Evidential Crisis" (the link is to the pdf, which is 11 MB;…
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  1. JR Ewing on Lancet Discovers Public Health Is PoliticsMarch 16, 2026

    "For these crimes, our rulers paid no price. Not directly." ----------------------- It depresses me when I think about it, so…

  2. NLR on On Not ReadingMarch 15, 2026

    quote from Idonotreadcomments: "everything men create is derivative of what came before us. There are no stories that have not…

  3. Rudolph Harrier on On Not ReadingMarch 14, 2026

    Idonotreadcomments: you are making the wrong observation from bookstores. Certainly that sort of smut is plentiful in bookstores, and this…

  4. Nym Coy on On Not ReadingMarch 13, 2026

    Might I interest you in a book? It is called Mumbai Singularity, and it is a mythic cyberpunk detective thriller…

  5. Uncle Mike on Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)March 12, 2026

    The probability of significant "climate change" in equatorial Africa is very small because most climate change occurs at the poles.…

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