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William M. Briggs

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Latest Articles
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
April 30, 2026
The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
April 29, 2026
UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
April 27, 2026
Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
April 23, 2026
Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
April 22, 2026
What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
April 20, 2026
Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
April 16, 2026
How A Miracle Turns Mundane
April 15, 2026
Contest Winner Announced!
April 14, 2026
Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
April 13, 2026
Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
April 9, 2026
Proof!
April 8, 2026
Justice Ketanji Roars
April 7, 2026
Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
April 6, 2026
Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
April 2, 2026
There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
March 31, 2026
Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
March 30, 2026
Posted inStatistics

The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?

Posted by By Briggs May 12, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty

Posted by By Briggs May 11, 2026
Continue Reading
Probability Thought Experiment With NNT: Reader Question
Posted inClass Statistics

Probability Thought Experiment With NNT: Reader Question

From reader Ernst, this interesting probability/statistics question. First, NNT = number needed to treat, which is, stealing from this site to save time, "The Number Needed to Treat (NNT) is…
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Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners
Posted inStatistics

Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners

Today's post title is stolen from a paper by the same name "Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners: Do Trends Vary by Gender, Race, and Class?" in Gender &…
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Name Four Novels That Helped Shape You
Posted inFun

Name Four Novels That Helped Shape You

The tile of the post is from Twitter's Theophilus Chilton, who started a tag game saying "Name 4 fictional novels that helped to shape you, then tag 4 other people…
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Experts Mystified Why Gender Dysphoria Increasing
Posted inCulture Statistics

Experts Mystified Why Gender Dysphoria Increasing

Here's the headline: Cases of gender dysphoria in Swedish teenage girls up 1,500 percent since 2008. The Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare says that the number of cases…
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The Meat Paradox Makes You Want To Slap Vegans: Expert
Posted inCulture

The Meat Paradox Makes You Want To Slap Vegans: Expert

Here's a needless headline: The hidden biases that drive anti-vegan hatred. There are nothing hidden about the bias against vegans. People love to moan that vegans are annoying: research has…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Believe Only What’s True
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Believe Only What’s True

Previous post. It all comes down to faith. THAT THROUGH DIVINE LAW MEN ARE BOUND TO THE RIGHT FAITH 1 From this it becomes clear that men are bound to…
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The Week In Doom — No True Scandinavian Edition
Posted inCulture

The Week In Doom — No True Scandinavian Edition

Item Tyranny Today in BC Supreme Court I heard one of the scariest things ever: a judge ordering a father to not call his female child his daughter. The judge…
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The Problem of an Excess of Educated Men
Posted inCulture

The Problem of an Excess of Educated Men

Leo K, one of our regular readers, gave us a link which led to the Lenore O'Boyle paper "The Problem of an Excess of Educated Men in Western Europe, 1800-1850"…
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  1. Brian (bulaoren) on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    Can I just self-identify as a black lesbian female?

  2. NLR on The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?May 12, 2026

    You go into door B. There is a 50% chance that door B was the one with two male Boomers,…

  3. The True Nolan on Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI PachinkoMay 11, 2026

    If Dawkins were more honest or perhaps more insightful he would say that "Claudia responds AS IF she were conscious."…

  4. RW Pearson on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026

    In liberal California, I luckily live in Orange County, where our good Sheriff is issuing CCW permits and they are…

  5. Cary D Cotterman on Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death PenaltyMay 11, 2026

    For murderers and certain other committers of heinous crimes, I am for trials and death sentences on Fridays, the weekend…

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