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William M. Briggs

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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

It’s No Coincidence: Rarity Is Subjective

I have in my hand---you'll have to trust me---a certain blade of grass. He is my favorite. The titling curvature of his blade can only be described as rakish, although…
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Posted inStatistics

Criticism of Jerrett et al. CARB PM2.5 And Mortality Report

A pdf of this criticism may be downloaded here. The Jerrett report can be found here. Background on this subject can be found here. Overall Author Michael Jerrett and nine…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Number Of Ways To Go Nuts To Increase: DSM-V

Here are the official number of ways you can go nuts, according to the peer-reviewed Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders. The DSM-I started in 1952 with just 601…
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Posted inStatistics

Of Course Human Caused Climate Change Is Real

"In a survey last year by the National Academy of Sciences, 97 percent to 98 percent of climate researchers agreed with the premise that humans are causing climate change." So…
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Posted inStatistics

Are 40 Percent of Europeans Mentally Ill?

Forty-percent of a population is a lot. Imagine a street filled with people---European people. Perhaps they are standing in line waiting for their free health care. Four out of ten…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

What Is Science? Part I

Science says this, science says that. There is no more loquacious entity these days than science. What is it? Climatologists talk of the science. Physicists compliment by saying a fellow…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Occam’s Razor And Induction

Occam's razor: The simplest hypothesis is usually the best. Simplest is easy to understand, and non-controversial, or relatively so. Consternation creeps in with usually. Before that, first understand what is…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Are You Good At Picking Football Games? Edgehogs

I haven't met a die-hard sports fan yet who hasn't claimed to be able to pick games better than everybody else. Just as I haven't met a gambler who hasn't…
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  1. John Pate on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025

    ...and another thing: in Fisher's works first understanding the distribution of what you're measuring in population you are sampling from…

  2. JH on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025

    Since your definition of p-values is not entirely correct, FYI - understanding p-values and different meanings of p-value

  3. John Pate on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 22, 2025

    To be fair to R.A. Fisher he warned people were over-enthusiastic about applying the tools he provided. He wasn't as…

  4. McChuck on Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!August 21, 2025

    "Faster, pussycat! Kill! Kill!" You can't repeat the mantra enough.

  5. gareth on The Key Role Of Probability & Chance In ScienceAugust 20, 2025

    "I have answered three six questions, and that is enough," Said his father Briggs; "don't give yourself airs! Do you…

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