Statistics – Page 254 – William M. Briggs

How To Cheat, Or Fool Yourself, With Time Series: Climate Example

Update This post of such importance, that it remains on top today. See below for more comments. Presented for your satisfaction, a way to cheat either yourself or others using…

Statistics

Statistics Of Loeb’s “Observed Changes In Top-Of-The-Atmosphere Radiation And Upper-Ocean Heating Consistent Within Uncertainty”

The paper is "Observed changes in top-of-the-atmosphere radiation and upper-ocean heating consistent within uncertainty" by Norman Loeb and others in the journal Nature Geoscience. I'm pressed for time, so for…

Philosophy Statistics

Sloppy Language About What’s True: Part III

Today, a technical interregnum, a necessary pause for proof of that claim that each of us must come equipped with knowledge that cannot be learned. Stuff that is only known…

Philosophy Statistics

Sloppy Language About What’s True: Part I

"All cats are creatures understanding French," said Alice's father. "And some chickens are cats." "Wait, I know!" said Alice, chirruping. "That means that some chickens are creatures understanding French."1 "What…

Statistics

EPA Can Fine You As Long As It Wants—With No Review

EPA Agent Stephen Segal protects the wetlands The EPA came to Idaho and said in a booming voice Stop! to Mike and Chantell Sackett, who were building a home on…

Philosophy Statistics

On Probability Leakage

Submitted for your approval, yet another paper. On Probability Leakage, posted at Arxiv. Once you, my beloved readers, have had a go with it, I'll incorporate your comments in an…

Statistics

Differences In Brains Between Believers And Atheists?

The following question was posed at the (inaptly named) magazine Scientific American, "Is there a difference between the brain of an atheist and the brain of a religious person?" It…

Philosophy Statistics

Curtis’s The Science Of Subjectivity

An unfocused post today; just some notes on a paper. Busy day for me. Andrew Curtis wrote, "The science of subjectivity" in the January 2012 issue of the journal Geology…

Hun on On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing BeliefsJanuary 9, 2026
What about male genital mutilation? It's common practice in the US for some reason. Actually, the reason is obvious and…
Don B on Register Your Predictions For 2026!January 9, 2026
1. THIS will be the year the long-awaited, often predicted bear will hit the U.S. stock market, precipitating similar bears…
John Pate on Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time SeriesJanuary 8, 2026
The amusing thing is one of the facilitators of China's rise is its falling fertility, giving it the breathing space…
Neil Taylor on Register Your Predictions For 2026!January 8, 2026
1. A protester will open fire and kill multiple ICE agents. 2. Kier Starmer will loose his job as leader…
Uncle Mike on Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time SeriesJanuary 8, 2026
Well then Tars, if depopulating China is your goal, they should definitely end restrictions on births. Because the fewer the…