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Posted inStatistics

Predictive Statistics: GPA Case Study, Part II

Read Part I : Download the Quirk’s article. To understand why ordinary regression assumptions are bad, we need to look at some (new data) scenarios. Suppose that Bob had a…
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Posted inStatistics

Predictive Statistics: GPA Case Study, Part I

Read Part II : Download the Quirk’s article. Predictive statistics differs from classical (frequentist and Bayesian) practices because it focuses on observables and not metaphysical entities. Observables are the data…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Ayn Rand and the Differences Between Groups

Roger Kimball is causing a stink, a predictable yet enjoyable stink, by publishing Anthony Daniels's review of an Ayn Rand biography in this month's The New Criterion. There are two…
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Posted inStatistics

R Lecture 7: Reading External Data Part II

10 minutes is a shockingly short period of time! Today, some common errors you WILL see when you try to read in data. The code below has many typos. Watch…
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Posted inStatistics

Climate Skeptic Conspiracy Strikes!

I have never been part of a conspiracy before---there was never the opportunity---so you can imagine how excited I am about finally joining one. It's true that, in 1978, I,…
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Posted inStatistics

R Lecture 6: Reading External Data Part I

10 minutes is a shockingly short period of time! Go to https://www.wmbriggs.com/book/ and save the advertising.csv file into your myR folder. Make SURE it is saved as a CSV file…
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Posted inStatistics

Quirk’s: Telling the future from the past: predictive versus classical statistics

Today's post is at Quirk's, the well known trade journal and marketing research review. If you want to read the article on-line at Quirk's, registration is required, but free. You…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Malthus Was Wrong, But Not Why You Think

It's hard to think of a historical writer more misunderstood than Thomas Malthus. A week doesn't go by without somebody dropping his name, but only to show how wrong he…
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  1. Tim on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 8, 2025

    What are you playing at, Briggs? Some high-falutin' model equation junk that'll get twisted by politicians in the end anyway?…

  2. Milton Hathaway on AI Cannot Hallucinate Nor LieMay 8, 2025

    I have been making heavy use of the more well-known LLMs lately. I use them almost exclusively as "regurgitation engines",…

  3. shawn marshall on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 7, 2025

    Let us not discredit the demonic.

  4. Cary Cotterman on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 7, 2025

    Blair: "...lightning came inside and chased her to a back bedroom." Anyone who can outrun lightning, even if it's only…

  5. McChuck on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 7, 2025

    I knew a fellow win the Army who had been struck by lightning three times. Whenever he heard thunder, he…

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