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William M. Briggs

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Marbles!
June 23, 2026
Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
June 18, 2026
Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
June 17, 2026
Truly Random Numbers Found?
June 15, 2026
Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
June 11, 2026
Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
June 10, 2026
The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
June 8, 2026
Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
June 4, 2026
No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
June 3, 2026
How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
June 1, 2026
Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
May 28, 2026
Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
May 27, 2026
Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
May 21, 2026
Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
May 20, 2026
Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
May 18, 2026
Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
May 14, 2026
The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
May 13, 2026
The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
May 12, 2026
Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
May 11, 2026
How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
May 6, 2026
Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko
May 4, 2026
Posted inStatistics

Marbles!

Posted by By Briggs June 23, 2026
Continue Reading
Posted inStatistics

Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example

Posted by By Briggs June 18, 2026
Continue Reading
Insanity & Doom Update XLIX — Special Midweek Doom!
Posted inCulture

Insanity & Doom Update XLIX — Special Midweek Doom!

Insanity and doom items are piling up faster than I can put them out. This bonus edition will reduce the load somewhat. Item Healthline says, using the medical term 'vagina'…
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Let’s Talk About Q Again — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell
Posted inCulture

Let’s Talk About Q Again — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell

We talked about Q a little bit a few months ago but it's time for a second look. Since late October 2017, Q has been communicating with members of the…
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Do Not Fear Being Called An Isolationist — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

Do Not Fear Being Called An Isolationist — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Trotsky proclaimed that the world needed 'permanent revolution.' Stalin countered that the Party needed 'socialism in one country' in order to survive. It was the Fox versus Frankenstein. Or, as…
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Does It Mean I’m Psychic?
Posted inStatistics

Does It Mean I’m Psychic?

Years ago I wrote and self-published for fun the book So, You Think You're Psychic? You can download a free PDF of it on the Books page. There's nothing wrong…
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Summary Against Modern Thought: Ultimate Happiness Does Come In Knowing Separate Substances
Posted inPhilosophy SAMT

Summary Against Modern Thought: Ultimate Happiness Does Come In Knowing Separate Substances

Previous post. We're closing in on ultimate happiness! You didn't think it would be easy, did you? A short chapter this week. But an important one. See paragraph 3 for…
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Insanity & Doom Update XLVIII
Posted inCulture

Insanity & Doom Update XLVIII

Item Decline in the Fall (or Late Summer, Anyway): by Fred Gibbon This is Fred Reed at his curmudgeonly best. Item The Next Woman To Try Playing In A PGA…
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On Israel’s Jewish New ‘Nation State’ Law
Posted inCulture

On Israel’s Jewish New ‘Nation State’ Law

I am probably the wrong man to ask about Israel being named as an official Jewish state. My idea is that at least Jerusalem should be Christian. After all, Our…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VI New (Free) Software Poisson Regression
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VI New (Free) Software Poisson Regression

Previous post in the series (or click above on Class). REVIEW! Download the code: mcmc.pred.R, mcmc.pred.examples.R. If you downloaded before, download again. This is version 0.22! Only the example code…
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  1. Franco on How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain PowerJune 22, 2026

    Probably my all time favorite has to be some variation of "War afflicts women and children most"

  2. Johnno on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 21, 2026

    That's a lot of words just to say Math is intrinsically patriarchal because statistics show boys are better than girls…

  3. Johnno on Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!June 21, 2026

    They could host the matches in indoor arenas... but that would mean turning on the air conditioning, which means electricity,…

  4. hudbwu on Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady AcademicJune 20, 2026

    We they're certainly re-inventing. Promises kept, I guess. Also, I can't escape thinking this is what the mice and rats…

  5. hudbwu on The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of AnswersJune 20, 2026

    ObvIOusLy, the correct formula for the triangles at the start is (upper_left + upper_right) * upper_left , which gives us…

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