Today we discuss economic predictions: he who makes the best predictions has the best model. The predictions I make are based this tweet: https://twitter.com/JoeBiden/status/1554568228550180869 We have been told that the…

There is a point to today's post. It is not a momentous or especially arresting point, but it's still worth making. Here, I make the point about science, but it…

The French Revolution is directly responsible for the creating the soil in which the managerial society grew. The Cult of Reason alone proves this. The initial flowering of the managerial…

Sometime back in the late 1990s, Utne Reader, a magazine which was then what we called "progressive", voted Ithaca, NY, the Most Enlightened city in America. I lived there at…

The most important book (or booklet) you can read this year about nature of the Expertocracy, and the differences between Expertocracies, is N.S. Lyons's (sub-optimally named) The China Convergence, a…

Few years back some folks invited me to give a talk at Fermi Lab. Subject was how mistaken views of probability were holding particle physics back. (Which I still think…

There is nothing holier than a Victim. No person holds a more exalted place in our culture than the Victim. Rules which must be followed by the ordinary are allowed…